MatchWiz
Home Runs · Thursday, June 11, 2026

STL @ NYM Home Runs matchups · Thursday, June 11, 2026

STL
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
45
Final
NYM
New York Mets
NYM
Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft 91°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, Out To RF

STL STL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 BF
Season.00095 BF
Last 2 Years.034146 BF
wOBA allowed.234
Hard-Hit %33%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 BF
Season.01661 BF
Last 2 Years.01195 BF
wOBA allowed.384
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.037189 PA
Last 2 Years.037189 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.00095 PA
Last 2 Years.034146 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030166 PA
Season.027880 PA
Last 2 Years.0222848 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.177

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA
Season.019211 PA
Last 2 Years.025594 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.01661 PA
Last 2 Years.01195 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032185 PA
Season.018919 PA
Last 2 Years.0254011 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.134

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09133 PA
Season.045198 PA
Last 2 Years.039924 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.00095 PA
Last 2 Years.034146 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030166 PA
Season.027880 PA
Last 2 Years.0222848 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.353
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~2.8× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 10-game streak

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.23

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+450
BRBetRivers+440
CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA
Season.053207 PA
Last 2 Years.031574 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.01661 PA
Last 2 Years.01195 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032185 PA
Season.018919 PA
Last 2 Years.0254011 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 7-game streak

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.189

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+400
BRBetRivers+380
CZRCaesars+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.00017 PA
Last 2 Years.025604 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.00095 PA
Last 2 Years.034146 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030166 PA
Season.027880 PA
Last 2 Years.0222848 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.151

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+475
CZRCaesars+475
BRBetRivers+460

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA
Season.011184 PA
Last 2 Years.017860 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.01661 PA
Last 2 Years.01195 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032185 PA
Season.018919 PA
Last 2 Years.0254011 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.098

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.00056 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.00095 PA
Last 2 Years.034146 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030166 PA
Season.027880 PA
Last 2 Years.0222848 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.032188 PA
Last 2 Years.032627 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.00095 PA
Last 2 Years.034146 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030166 PA
Season.027880 PA
Last 2 Years.0222848 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.142

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+550
CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.039127 PA
Last 2 Years.034178 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.00095 PA
Last 2 Years.034146 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030166 PA
Season.027880 PA
Last 2 Years.0222848 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.136

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750
BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.0008 PA
Last 2 Years.00028 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.01661 PA
Last 2 Years.01195 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032185 PA
Season.018919 PA
Last 2 Years.0254011 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.127

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA
Season.06531 PA
Last 2 Years.06531 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.00095 PA
Last 2 Years.034146 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030166 PA
Season.027880 PA
Last 2 Years.0222848 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.153

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.02441 PA
Last 2 Years.015130 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.01661 PA
Last 2 Years.01195 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032185 PA
Season.018919 PA
Last 2 Years.0254011 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 5-game streak

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

NYM NYM Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 BF
Season.00027 BF
Last 2 Years.020151 BF
wOBA allowed.357
Hard-Hit %44%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 BF
Season.03826 BF
Last 2 Years.025158 BF
wOBA allowed.237
Hard-Hit %50%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04544 PA
Season.024206 PA
Last 2 Years.024206 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.020151 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011181 PA
Season.0301145 PA
Last 2 Years.0293432 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.165

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+625

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00042 PA
Season.005218 PA
Last 2 Years.016770 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.03826 PA
Last 2 Years.025158 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023216 PA
Season.0251162 PA
Last 2 Years.0254208 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.047

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA
Season.071141 PA
Last 2 Years.064880 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.020151 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011181 PA
Season.0301145 PA
Last 2 Years.0293432 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.358
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.291

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+340
BOLBetOnline+325
CZRCaesars+320

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07739 PA
Season.04764 PA
Last 2 Years.064109 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.020151 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011181 PA
Season.0301145 PA
Last 2 Years.0293432 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.2

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500
BRBetRivers+500
CZRCaesars+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00038 PA
Season.01378 PA
Last 2 Years.01378 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.020151 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011181 PA
Season.0301145 PA
Last 2 Years.0293432 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.135

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10339 PA
Season.035200 PA
Last 2 Years.032930 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.03826 PA
Last 2 Years.025158 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023216 PA
Season.0251162 PA
Last 2 Years.0254208 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.146

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.016183 PA
Last 2 Years.034532 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.020151 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011181 PA
Season.0301145 PA
Last 2 Years.0293432 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.137

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.2005 PA
Season.038104 PA
Last 2 Years.034537 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.03826 PA
Last 2 Years.025158 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023216 PA
Season.0251162 PA
Last 2 Years.0254208 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.149

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+475
CZRCaesars+475
BRBetRivers+440

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.020151 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011181 PA
Season.0301145 PA
Last 2 Years.0293432 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.137

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+540

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA
Season.038133 PA
Last 2 Years.048736 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.03826 PA
Last 2 Years.025158 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023216 PA
Season.0251162 PA
Last 2 Years.0254208 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 6 games since a hit

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.174

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.015387 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.03826 PA
Last 2 Years.025158 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023216 PA
Season.0251162 PA
Last 2 Years.0254208 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.115

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.01190 PA
Last 2 Years.019377 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.03826 PA
Last 2 Years.025158 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023216 PA
Season.0251162 PA
Last 2 Years.0254208 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.113

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.