SD @ STL Home Runs matchups · Monday, June 15, 2026

San Diego Padres

7:45 PM EDT

STL

St. Louis Cardinals

◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft

SD Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from SD's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00028 BF

Season.021191 BF

Last 2 Years.036525 BF

wOBA allowed.353

Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 BF

Season.009110 BF

Last 2 Years.019360 BF

wOBA allowed.242

Hard-Hit %37%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 5-game streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02148 PA

Season.004238 PA

Last 2 Years.033845 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 9vs CIN0

Jun 10vs CIN1

Jun 12@ BAL0

Jun 13@ BAL0

Jun 14@ BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA

Season.009110 PA

Last 2 Years.019360 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.048207 PA

Season.0311107 PA

Last 2 Years.0274027 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.259

Plate Appearances27

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.159

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02540 PA

Season.024207 PA

Last 2 Years.043785 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 9vs CIN0

Jun 10vs CIN0

Jun 12@ BAL0

Jun 13@ BAL1

Jun 14@ BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA

Season.021191 PA

Last 2 Years.036525 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025161 PA

Season.0331011 PA

Last 2 Years.0283041 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.335

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.166

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05338 PA

Season.042214 PA

Last 2 Years.0421017 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 9vs CIN0

Jun 10vs CIN0

Jun 12@ BAL0

Jun 13@ BAL1

Jun 14@ BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA

Season.009110 PA

Last 2 Years.019360 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.048207 PA

Season.0311107 PA

Last 2 Years.0274027 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances36

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.162

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA

Season.036196 PA

Last 2 Years.027784 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 7vs NYM0

Jun 8vs CIN0

Jun 12@ BAL0

Jun 13@ BAL0

Jun 14@ BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA

Season.009110 PA

Last 2 Years.019360 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.048207 PA

Season.0311107 PA

Last 2 Years.0274027 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.124

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA

Season.059185 PA

Last 2 Years.038785 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 9vs CIN0

Jun 10vs CIN0

Jun 12@ BAL0

Jun 13@ BAL1

Jun 14@ BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA

Season.021191 PA

Last 2 Years.036525 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025161 PA

Season.0331011 PA

Last 2 Years.0283041 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.335

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.164

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 7-game streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA

Season.04522 PA

Last 2 Years.04025 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 9vs CIN0

Jun 10vs CIN0

Jun 12@ BAL0

Jun 13@ BAL1

Jun 14@ BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA

Season.009110 PA

Last 2 Years.019360 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.048207 PA

Season.0311107 PA

Last 2 Years.0274027 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.146

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA

Season.0002 PA

Last 2 Years.0005 PA

Last 2 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ BAL0

Jun 14@ BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA

Season.009110 PA

Last 2 Years.019360 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.048207 PA

Season.0311107 PA

Last 2 Years.0274027 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.124

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 7vs NYM0

Jun 8vs CIN0

Jun 9vs CIN0

Jun 13@ BAL0

Jun 14@ BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA

Season.009110 PA

Last 2 Years.019360 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.048207 PA

Season.0311107 PA

Last 2 Years.0274027 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.126

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 3@ PHI0

Jun 5vs NYM0

Jun 10vs CIN0

Jun 13@ BAL1

Jun 14@ BAL1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA

Season.009110 PA

Last 2 Years.019360 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.048207 PA

Season.0311107 PA

Last 2 Years.0274027 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

STL Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from STL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Probable pitcher not announcedMatchups for this lineup are shown neutrally for now and will sharpen automatically once the opposing starter is posted (usually a day or two before first pitch).

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00041 PA

Season.031290 PA

Last 2 Years.031290 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 9@ NYM0

Jun 10@ NYM0

Jun 11@ NYM0

Jun 12@ MIN0

Jun 14@ MIN1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.043255 PA

Season.0251134 PA

Last 2 Years.0264049 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact

wOBA.327

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.148

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03360 PA

Season.029310 PA

Last 2 Years.036845 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10@ NYM0

Jun 11@ NYM0

Jun 12@ MIN0

Jun 13@ MIN2

Jun 14@ MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.039230 PA

Season.028977 PA

Last 2 Years.0284060 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact

wOBA.350

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.161

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 14-game streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08559 PA

Season.041294 PA

Last 2 Years.0341223 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10@ NYM1

Jun 11@ NYM1

Jun 12@ MIN1

Jun 13@ MIN0

Jun 14@ MIN1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.043255 PA

Season.0251134 PA

Last 2 Years.0264049 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact

wOBA.340

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.189

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05159 PA

Season.062289 PA

Last 2 Years.036796 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10@ NYM1

Jun 11@ NYM0

Jun 12@ MIN0

Jun 13@ MIN1

Jun 14@ MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.039230 PA

Season.028977 PA

Last 2 Years.0284060 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact

wOBA.331

Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.193

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06133 PA

Season.06133 PA

Last 2 Years.026857 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10@ NYM0

Jun 11@ NYM1

Jun 12@ MIN0

Jun 13@ MIN0

Jun 14@ MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.043255 PA

Season.0251134 PA

Last 2 Years.0264049 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact

wOBA.321

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.143

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 3 GamesHome Runs

Jun 12@ MIN0

Jun 13@ MIN1

Jun 14@ MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.039230 PA

Season.028977 PA

Last 2 Years.0284060 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.131

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA

Season.04445 PA

Last 2 Years.04445 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 5vs CIN0

Jun 6vs CIN0

Jun 7vs CIN1

Jun 11@ NYM0

Jun 14@ MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.043255 PA

Season.0251134 PA

Last 2 Years.0264049 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact

wOBA.322

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.132

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 8-game streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA

Season.019103 PA

Last 2 Years.014222 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 7vs CIN0

Jun 10@ NYM0

Jun 12@ MIN0

Jun 13@ MIN0

Jun 14@ MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.039230 PA

Season.028977 PA

Last 2 Years.0284060 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact

wOBA.317

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.108

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA

Season.029174 PA

Last 2 Years.025239 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10@ NYM0

Jun 11@ NYM0

Jun 12@ MIN0

Jun 13@ MIN0

Jun 14@ MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.043255 PA

Season.0251134 PA

Last 2 Years.0264049 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact

wOBA.307

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.104

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.