MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Thursday, June 18, 2026

STL @ KC Home Runs matchups · Thursday, June 18, 2026

STL
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
614
Final
KC
Kansas City Royals
KC
Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft 76°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, L To R

STL STL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 BF
Season.04370 BF
Last 2 Years.039205 BF
wOBA allowed.341
Hard-Hit %32%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05437 BF
Season.022225 BF
Last 2 Years.028646 BF
wOBA allowed.290
Hard-Hit %32%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.020101 PA
Last 2 Years.020100 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 12@ MIN0
Jun 14@ MIN1
Jun 15vs SD0
Jun 16vs SD0
Jun 17vs SD0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.04370 PA
Last 2 Years.039205 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031163 PA
Season.034835 PA
Last 2 Years.0242546 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.146

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.04394 PA
Last 2 Years.057244 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ MIN2
Jun 14@ MIN0
Jun 15vs SD0
Jun 16vs SD0
Jun 17vs SD0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05437 PA
Season.022225 PA
Last 2 Years.028646 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042214 PA
Season.029745 PA
Last 2 Years.0252627 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.352
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.192

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+575
BRBetRivers+540
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12516 PA
Season.08372 PA
Last 2 Years.047212 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ MIN1
Jun 14@ MIN0
Jun 15vs SD0
Jun 16vs SD0
Jun 17vs SD0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05437 PA
Season.022225 PA
Last 2 Years.028646 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042214 PA
Season.029745 PA
Last 2 Years.0252627 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.195

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+350
BRBetRivers+350
CZRCaesars+320

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.09521 PA
Last 2 Years.08723 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 7vs CIN0
Jun 10@ NYM1
Jun 12@ MIN0
Jun 13@ MIN0
Jun 17vs SD0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05437 PA
Season.022225 PA
Last 2 Years.028646 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042214 PA
Season.029745 PA
Last 2 Years.0252627 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.162

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+400
BRBetRivers+375

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 17-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.01191 PA
Last 2 Years.014293 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ MIN0
Jun 14@ MIN1
Jun 15vs SD0
Jun 16vs SD0
Jun 17vs SD0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.04370 PA
Last 2 Years.039205 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031163 PA
Season.034835 PA
Last 2 Years.0242546 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.292
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.11

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+540
BOLBetOnline+475
CZRCaesars+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00071 PA
Last 2 Years.023344 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ MIN0
Jun 14@ MIN0
Jun 15vs SD0
Jun 16vs SD0
Jun 17vs SD0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05437 PA
Season.022225 PA
Last 2 Years.028646 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042214 PA
Season.029745 PA
Last 2 Years.0252627 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.113

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ MIN1
Jun 14@ MIN0
Jun 15vs SD0
Jun 16vs SD0
Jun 17vs SD0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05437 PA
Season.022225 PA
Last 2 Years.028646 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042214 PA
Season.029745 PA
Last 2 Years.0252627 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.127

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+625

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.01661 PA
Last 2 Years.01190 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10@ NYM0
Jun 12@ MIN0
Jun 13@ MIN0
Jun 14@ MIN0
Jun 17vs SD0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05437 PA
Season.022225 PA
Last 2 Years.028646 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042214 PA
Season.029745 PA
Last 2 Years.0252627 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.109

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.00046 PA
Last 2 Years.013225 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

May 27@ MIL0
May 31vs CHC0
Jun 6vs CIN0
Jun 13@ MIN0
Jun 17vs SD0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05437 PA
Season.022225 PA
Last 2 Years.028646 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042214 PA
Season.029745 PA
Last 2 Years.0252627 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.098

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1119 PA
Season.1119 PA
Last 2 Years.025245 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ MIN0
Jun 14@ MIN0
Jun 15vs SD0
Jun 16vs SD0
Jun 17vs SD0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.04370 PA
Last 2 Years.039205 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031163 PA
Season.034835 PA
Last 2 Years.0242546 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.135

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0005 PA
Last 2 Years.07713 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 11@ NYM1
Jun 12@ MIN0
Jun 15vs SD0
Jun 16vs SD0
Jun 17vs SD0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.04370 PA
Last 2 Years.039205 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031163 PA
Season.034835 PA
Last 2 Years.0242546 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.138

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.00043 PA
Last 2 Years.00057 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ MIN0
Jun 14@ MIN0
Jun 15vs SD0
Jun 16vs SD0
Jun 17vs SD0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.04370 PA
Last 2 Years.039205 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031163 PA
Season.034835 PA
Last 2 Years.0242546 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.1

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

BRBetRivers+1050

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

KC KC Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 BF
Season.08273 BF
Last 2 Years.037296 BF
wOBA allowed.409
Hard-Hit %46%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11834 BF
Season.034234 BF
Last 2 Years.034881 BF
wOBA allowed.342
Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.01286 PA
Last 2 Years.018218 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs HOU1
Jun 14vs HOU0
Jun 15@ WSH0
Jun 16@ WSH1
Jun 17@ WSH1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11834 PA
Season.034234 PA
Last 2 Years.034881 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034177 PA
Season.0251020 PA
Last 2 Years.0243386 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.327
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.122

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+650
CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.01376 PA
Last 2 Years.013310 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs HOU0
Jun 14vs HOU0
Jun 15@ WSH0
Jun 16@ WSH0
Jun 17@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11834 PA
Season.034234 PA
Last 2 Years.034881 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034177 PA
Season.0251020 PA
Last 2 Years.0243386 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.327
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.138

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+390
BRBetRivers+370

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA
Season.04174 PA
Last 2 Years.043139 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs HOU0
Jun 14vs HOU0
Jun 15@ WSH0
Jun 16@ WSH0
Jun 17@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.08273 PA
Last 2 Years.037296 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024165 PA
Season.0281161 PA
Last 2 Years.0293201 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.152

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+475
BRBetRivers+460

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00066 PA
Last 2 Years.016255 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 7@ MIN1
Jun 10vs TEX0
Jun 12vs HOU0
Jun 15@ WSH0
Jun 16@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11834 PA
Season.034234 PA
Last 2 Years.034881 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034177 PA
Season.0251020 PA
Last 2 Years.0243386 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.327
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.112

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+850
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.04076 PA
Last 2 Years.039311 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs HOU0
Jun 14vs HOU0
Jun 15@ WSH0
Jun 16@ WSH0
Jun 17@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11834 PA
Season.034234 PA
Last 2 Years.034881 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034177 PA
Season.0251020 PA
Last 2 Years.0243386 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.327
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.571
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.139

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+550
BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 9-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00061 PA
Last 2 Years.00073 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 12vs HOU0
Jun 13vs HOU0
Jun 14vs HOU0
Jun 15@ WSH0
Jun 17@ WSH1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.08273 PA
Last 2 Years.037296 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024165 PA
Season.0281161 PA
Last 2 Years.0293201 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.121

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00065 PA
Last 2 Years.019159 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 11vs TEX0
Jun 13vs HOU0
Jun 15@ WSH0
Jun 16@ WSH0
Jun 17@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11834 PA
Season.034234 PA
Last 2 Years.034881 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034177 PA
Season.0251020 PA
Last 2 Years.0243386 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.327
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.104

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950
BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.01376 PA
Last 2 Years.022231 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs HOU0
Jun 14vs HOU0
Jun 15@ WSH0
Jun 16@ WSH0
Jun 17@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11834 PA
Season.034234 PA
Last 2 Years.034881 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034177 PA
Season.0251020 PA
Last 2 Years.0243386 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.327
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.107

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.03231 PA
Last 2 Years.009117 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 12vs HOU0
Jun 13vs HOU0
Jun 14vs HOU0
Jun 16@ WSH0
Jun 17@ WSH1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.08273 PA
Last 2 Years.037296 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024165 PA
Season.0281161 PA
Last 2 Years.0293201 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.103

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.00023 PA

Last 1 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17@ WSH1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.08273 PA
Last 2 Years.037296 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024165 PA
Season.0281161 PA
Last 2 Years.0293201 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.