Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Saturday, June 20, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Saturday, June 20, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Tap any card for the full breakdown.
PROJSome lineups aren't official yet — 27 starts use an opposing lineup projected from that team's last game. The strikeout projection updates automatically once the official lineup posts, ~2 hours before first pitch.
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#Pitcher · MatchupScore
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB18.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload12.6 BF
Expected batters faced12.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)24.0%2.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)23.5%2.0
3. José Tena (L)21.5%2.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)24.9%1.6
5. Keibert Ruiz (R)27.4%1.0
6. Daylen Lile (L)23.5%1.0
7. Nasim Nuñez (R)22.1%1.0
8. Jorbit Vivas (L)23.4%1.0
9. Jacob Young (R)22.4%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB17.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.9 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)20.3%3.0
2. Nick Madrigal (R)22.9%3.0
3. Jo Adell (R)22.7%3.0
4. Vaughn Grissom (R)22.7%3.0
5. Oswald Peraza (R)20.8%3.0
6. Christian Moore (R)17.3%2.8
7. Denzer Guzman (R)24.6%2.0
8. Logan O'Hoppe (R)23.0%2.0
9. Jose Siri (R)22.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate16.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB17.3%
vs RHB18.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.5 BF
Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.2 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)20.7%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)21.7%3.0
3. Adley Rutschman (L)21.9%3.0
4. Pete Alonso (R)23.1%3.0
5. Samuel Basallo (L)22.2%3.0
6. Leody Taveras (L)21.9%3.0
7. Colton Cowser (L)21.1%2.5
8. Blaze Alexander (R)26.9%2.0
9. Jackson Holliday (L)20.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.9%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.3 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)23.1%3.0
2. Kyle Manzardo (L)21.0%3.0
3. Brayan Rocchio (L)22.9%3.0
4. Rhys Hoskins (R)18.6%3.0
5. Daniel Schneemann (L)20.3%3.0
6. Gabriel Arias (R)21.6%2.6
7. Kahlil Watson (L)22.5%2.0
8. Patrick Bailey (L)20.0%2.0
9. Steven Kwan (L)21.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.7%
vs RHB24.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Tommy Edman (R)21.7%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)21.5%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)21.0%3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)19.8%2.5
5. Miguel Rojas (R)25.1%2.0
6. Kyle Tucker (L)20.2%2.0
7. Alex Call (R)23.6%2.0
8. Dalton Rushing (L)21.5%2.0
9. Alex Freeland (R)20.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB18.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zack Gelof (R)25.5%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)23.6%3.0
3. Shea Langeliers (R)21.0%3.0
4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)21.0%3.0
5. Jacob Wilson (R)24.8%3.0
6. Jonah Heim (L)21.5%2.8
7. Carlos Cortes (L)21.6%2.0
8. Henry Bolte (R)24.7%2.0
9. Jeff McNeil (L)21.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.0%
vs RHB20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)24.1%3.0
2. Willi Castro (L)23.1%3.0
3. Hunter Goodman (R)21.9%3.0
4. TJ Rumfield (L)23.3%3.0
5. Tyler Freeman (R)23.5%3.0
6. Cole Carrigg (L)22.5%2.8
7. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.5%2.0
8. Ezequiel Tovar (R)20.9%2.0
9. Kyle Karros (R)23.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.1%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Drake Baldwin (L)24.5%3.0
2. Ozzie Albies (R)26.2%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)24.7%3.0
4. Dominic Smith (L)19.3%2.8
5. Mauricio Dubón (R)21.4%2.0
6. Austin Riley (R)23.3%2.0
7. Mike Yastrzemski (L)18.2%2.0
8. Eli White (R)23.1%2.0
9. Jorge Mateo (R)23.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB24.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)25.0%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)25.5%3.0
3. Christian Walker (R)20.2%3.0
4. Isaac Paredes (R)21.2%2.5
5. Jose Altuve (R)22.5%2.0
6. Yainer Diaz (R)22.8%2.0
7. Cam Smith (R)21.0%2.0
8. Joey Loperfido (L)20.2%2.0
9. Jake Meyers (R)19.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB22.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)22.9%3.0
2. Geraldo Perdomo (L)22.6%3.0
3. Corbin Carroll (L)20.4%3.0
4. Gabriel Moreno (R)24.9%3.0
5. Nolan Arenado (R)20.5%3.0
6. Ildemaro Vargas (L)21.1%2.8
7. Jordan Lawlar (R)22.4%2.0
8. LuJames Groover (R)22.5%2.0
9. Tommy Troy (R)17.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.9%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Mickey Gasper (L)22.5%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)24.8%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)21.7%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)23.7%3.0
5. Jarren Duran (L)20.8%2.7
6. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)26.1%2.0
7. Caleb Durbin (R)19.0%2.0
8. Connor Wong (R)22.6%2.0
9. Andruw Monasterio (R)21.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.6%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)22.9%3.0
2. JJ Bleday (L)21.7%3.0
3. Sal Stewart (R)21.4%3.0
4. Nathaniel Lowe (L)23.3%3.0
5. Spencer Steer (R)18.9%2.9
6. Eugenio Suárez (R)21.7%2.0
7. Tyler Stephenson (R)22.7%2.0
8. Matt McLain (R)19.4%2.0
9. Edwin Arroyo (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB26.0%
vs RHB18.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Liam Hicks (L)25.8%3.0
2. Owen Caissie (L)19.3%3.0
3. Heriberto Hernández (R)23.4%3.0
4. Kyle Stowers (L)21.8%3.0
5. Otto Lopez (R)25.8%3.0
6. Jakob Marsee (L)20.5%2.1
7. Connor Norby (R)21.8%2.0
8. Joe Mack (L)22.5%2.0
9. Javier Sanoja (R)21.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.3%
vs RHB20.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.9 BF
Expected batters faced25.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)24.1%3.0
2. Samad Taylor (R)25.0%3.0
3. Jackson Merrill (L)20.5%3.0
4. Manny Machado (R)19.0%3.0
5. Gavin Sheets (L)20.3%3.0
6. Xander Bogaerts (R)20.4%3.0
7. Ty France (R)19.7%3.0
8. Will Wagner (L)22.6%2.9
9. Rodolfo Durán (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB23.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. J.P. Crawford (L)20.6%3.0
2. Cal Raleigh (R)20.9%3.0
3. Josh Naylor (L)25.3%3.0
4. Dominic Canzone (L)22.2%3.0
5. Cole Young (L)22.3%3.0
6. Colt Emerson (L)19.2%3.0
7. Mitch Garver (R)22.8%2.1
8. Victor Robles (R)22.6%2.0
9. Miles Mastrobuoni (L)24.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)22.5%3.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L)22.5%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)22.5%3.0
4. Alec Bohm (R)22.5%3.0
5. Brandon Marsh (L)22.5%3.0
6. Edmundo Sosa (R)22.5%2.8
7. Bryson Stott (L)22.5%2.0
8. J.T. Realmuto (R)22.5%2.0
9. Derek Hill (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.4%
vs RHB23.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Joc Pederson (L)20.8%3.0
2. Josh Jung (R)24.1%3.0
3. Wyatt Langford (R)22.0%3.0
4. Brandon Nimmo (L)23.8%3.0
5. Ezequiel Duran (R)23.4%2.0
6. Alejandro Osuna (L)20.3%2.0
7. Jake Burger (R)22.7%2.0
8. Nicky Lopez (L)22.4%2.0
9. Elias Díaz (R)27.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.0%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ben Rice (L)21.9%3.0
2. Jasson Domínguez (R)22.9%3.0
3. Cody Bellinger (L)24.8%3.0
4. Paul Goldschmidt (R)28.0%3.0
5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)22.3%3.0
6. Spencer Jones (L)22.5%2.1
7. Anthony Volpe (R)22.7%2.0
8. Ryan McMahon (L)21.6%2.0
9. J.C. Escarra (L)23.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.9%
vs RHB24.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.4 BF
Expected batters faced24.4
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Miguel Vargas (R)19.2%3.0
2. Randal Grichuk (R)20.9%3.0
3. Chase Meidroth (R)22.1%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)21.5%3.0
5. Edgar Quero (L)21.0%3.0
6. Junior Perez (R)22.5%3.0
7. Sam Antonacci (L)24.9%2.4
8. Luisangel Acuña (R)22.1%2.0
9. Tristan Peters (L)26.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.9%
vs RHB26.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)23.8%3.0
2. Alex Bregman (R)21.7%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)21.8%3.0
4. Seiya Suzuki (R)23.5%2.5
5. Ian Happ (R)19.2%2.0
6. Matt Shaw (R)23.6%2.0
7. Nico Hoerner (R)24.9%2.0
8. Carson Kelly (R)25.8%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)20.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.9%
vs RHB22.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.4 BF
Expected batters faced24.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness24.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Luis Arraez (L)28.3%3.0
2. Bryce Eldridge (L)24.8%3.0
3. Matt Chapman (R)23.3%3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)22.8%3.0
5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)28.5%3.0
6. Willy Adames (R)21.8%3.0
7. Casey Schmitt (R)24.2%2.4
8. Drew Gilbert (L)21.0%2.0
9. Daniel Susac (R)21.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB25.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Spencer Horwitz (L)22.7%3.0
2. Nick Gonzales (R)24.6%3.0
3. Ryan O'Hearn (L)25.0%3.0
4. Marcell Ozuna (R)20.9%3.0
5. Brandon Lowe (L)22.7%2.8
6. Endy Rodríguez (L)22.6%2.0
7. Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.5%2.0
8. Jared Triolo (R)19.6%2.0
9. Billy Cook (R)21.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.8%
vs RHB23.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.8 BF
Expected batters faced24.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)22.7%3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)28.4%3.0
3. Brice Turang (L)19.1%3.0
4. William Contreras (R)26.2%3.0
5. Garrett Mitchell (L)19.3%3.0
6. Andrew Vaughn (R)29.0%3.0
7. Blake Perkins (R)22.4%2.8
8. Cooper Pratt (R)22.5%2.0
9. Joey Ortiz (R)21.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB26.6%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)21.7%3.0
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)23.1%3.0
3. Jesús Sánchez (L)26.3%3.0
4. Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.5%3.0
5. Alejandro Kirk (R)22.1%3.0
6. Nathan Lukes (L)27.5%2.2
7. Kazuma Okamoto (R)22.5%2.0
8. Davis Schneider (R)21.4%2.0
9. Andrés Giménez (L)22.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.3%
vs RHB22.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)27.6%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)24.4%3.0
3. Jonny DeLuca (R)25.2%3.0
4. Junior Caminero (R)22.9%3.0
5. Cedric Mullins (L)19.0%3.0
6. Chandler Simpson (L)24.1%2.5
7. Richie Palacios (L)20.3%2.0
8. Taylor Walls (L)20.3%2.0
9. Hunter Feduccia (L)22.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload26.3 BF
Expected batters faced26.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.9 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)22.5%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)22.5%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)22.5%3.0
4. Jared Young (L)22.5%3.0
5. A.J. Ewing (L)22.5%3.0
6. Marcus Semien (R)22.5%3.0
7. Brett Baty (L)22.5%3.0
8. MJ Melendez (L)22.5%3.0
9. Francisco Alvarez (R)22.5%2.3
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.7%
vs RHB24.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.2 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trevor Larnach (L)24.3%3.0
2. Byron Buxton (R)24.3%3.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)24.2%3.0
4. Royce Lewis (R)20.6%3.0
5. Josh Bell (L)23.5%3.0
6. Brooks Lee (L)21.1%3.0
7. Victor Caratini (L)23.2%2.1
8. Tristan Gray (L)21.7%2.0
9. Luke Keaschall (R)22.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
No H recorded yet today — leaders fill in live as games get underway.
Grades post here as games go final — how often our top-ranked matchups hit, vs the season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Saturday, June 20, 2026
Ian Seymour (TB) is the top hits allowed spot on the Saturday, June 20, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.7 H, with J.T. Ginn (ATH) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Ian Seymour
Ian Seymour (TB) tops the Saturday, June 20, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.7 H vs WSH. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
J.T. Ginn (ATH) (65) — about 3.9 H vs LAA.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) (57) — about 4.2 H vs BAL.
Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) (54) — about 4.3 H vs CLE.
Trevor Rogers (BAL) (40) — about 4.8 H vs LAD.
Walbert Ureña (LAA) (39) — about 4.9 H vs ATH.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Saturday, June 20, 2026)?
Ian Seymour (TB) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 2.7 H against WSH.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Saturday, June 20, 2026: Ian Seymour (~2.7 H), J.T. Ginn (~3.9 H), Yoshinobu Yamamoto (~4.2 H), Spencer Arrighetti (~4.3 H), Trevor Rogers (~4.8 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
