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Walks Allowed Board · Today

Best MLB walks allowed matchups — Monday, July 6, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Monday, July 6, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by walk risk against today's lineup. His command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. Tap any card for the full breakdown.

2:10 PM ETPHIPHIawayKCKChomeTop matchup976:40 PM ETNYYNYYawayTBTBhomeTop matchup466:45 PM ETHOUHOUawayWSHWSHhomeTop matchup857:15 PM ETNYMNYMawayATLATLhomeTop matchup937:45 PM ETMILMILawaySTLSTLhomeTop matchup399:40 PM ETAZAZawaySDSDhomeTop matchup1009:45 PM ETTORTORawaySFSFhomeTop matchup6510:10 PM ETCOLCOLawayLADLADhomeTop matchup61
PROJSome lineups aren't official yet — 16 starts use an opposing lineup projected from that team's last game. The strikeout projection updates automatically once the official lineup posts, ~2 hours before first pitch.
#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher walks Rate8.0% BB / BF

vs LHB8.3%
vs RHB7.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.2 BF

Expected batters faced13.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)7.8%2.0
2. Jake Cronenworth (L)10.8%2.0
3. Manny Machado (R)11.0%2.0
4. Gavin Sheets (L)9.6%2.0
5. Ty France (R)6.3%1.2
6. Jackson Merrill (L)7.4%1.0
7. Xander Bogaerts (R)11.0%1.0
8. Sung-Mun Song (L)11.0%1.0
9. Luis Campusano (R)8.9%1.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Brandon Pfaadt's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.7% BB / BF

vs LHB4.9%
vs RHB6.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.1 BF

Expected batters faced25.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)7.0%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)8.8%3.0
3. Jac Caglianone (L)4.7%3.0
4. Lane Thomas (R)10.2%3.0
5. Michael Massey (L)6.8%3.0
6. Salvador Perez (R)6.1%3.0
7. Josh Rojas (L)7.6%3.0
8. Kameron Misner (L)6.7%2.1
9. Isaac Collins (R)7.0%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Cristopher Sánchez's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.4% BB / BF

vs LHB12.1%
vs RHB4.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload12.8 BF

Expected batters faced12.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Francisco Lindor (L)8.0%2.0
2. Juan Soto (L)15.2%2.0
3. Bo Bichette (R)7.2%2.0
4. Mark Vientos (R)7.3%1.8
5. Carson Benge (L)7.3%1.0
6. Tyrone Taylor (R)7.7%1.0
7. A.J. Ewing (L)9.9%1.0
8. Luis Torrens (R)7.3%1.0
9. Brett Baty (L)10.1%1.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Reynaldo López's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate4.9% BB / BF

vs LHB5.7%
vs RHB5.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.8 BF

Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jose Altuve (R)8.8%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)16.4%3.0
3. Isaac Paredes (R)8.9%3.0
4. Christian Walker (R)7.9%2.8
5. LaMonte Wade Jr. (L)8.8%2.0
6. Cam Smith (R)7.3%2.0
7. Taylor Trammell (L)9.1%2.0
8. Nick Allen (R)8.2%2.0
9. Christian Vázquez (R)8.0%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Miles Mikolas's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.9% BB / BF

vs LHB8.0%
vs RHB5.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.2%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.6 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Luis Arraez (L)6.8%3.0
2. Casey Schmitt (R)4.3%3.0
3. Heliot Ramos (R)7.0%3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)10.5%3.0
5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)5.9%3.0
6. Willy Adames (R)7.5%2.4
7. Bryce Eldridge (L)11.6%2.0
8. Drew Gilbert (L)9.6%2.0
9. Drew Cavanaugh (L)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Kevin Gausman's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.7% BB / BF

vs LHB5.4%
vs RHB6.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.6 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)8.4%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)10.6%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)10.2%3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)9.3%3.0
5. Teoscar Hernández (R)9.8%3.0
6. Alex Call (R)9.0%3.0
7. Miguel Rojas (R)8.3%2.2
8. Alex Freeland (R)8.5%2.0
9. Eliezer Alfonzo (R)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Kyle Freeland's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.3% BB / BF

vs LHB7.0%
vs RHB8.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)8.6%3.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L)11.7%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)10.4%3.0
4. Brandon Marsh (L)5.5%3.0
5. Alec Bohm (R)7.2%2.9
6. Bryson Stott (L)7.9%2.0
7. Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)8.5%2.0
8. Justin Crawford (L)7.8%2.0
9. Garrett Stubbs (L)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Noah Cameron's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.1% BB / BF

vs LHB9.5%
vs RHB7.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.4%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)4.7%3.0
2. Mickey Moniak (L)6.0%3.0
3. Hunter Goodman (R)8.5%3.0
4. TJ Rumfield (L)7.6%3.0
5. Troy Johnston (L)7.0%2.4
6. Kyle Karros (R)8.6%2.0
7. Edouard Julien (L)11.2%2.0
8. Brett Sullivan (L)6.9%2.0
9. Ezequiel Tovar (R)7.4%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Eric Lauer's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.4% BB / BF

vs LHB7.2%
vs RHB8.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.8 BF

Expected batters faced19.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness10.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Trent Grisham (L)12.4%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)12.4%2.8
3. Jasson Domínguez (L)6.2%2.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)11.6%2.0
5. Anthony Volpe (R)9.4%2.0
6. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)10.4%2.0
7. Max Schuemann (R)12.0%2.0
8. Austin Wells (L)9.4%2.0
9. José Caballero (R)6.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Griffin Jax's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.6% BB / BF

vs LHB7.5%
vs RHB6.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)10.5%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)11.2%3.0
3. Junior Caminero (R)9.0%3.0
4. Cedric Mullins (L)8.7%3.0
5. Chandler Simpson (L)7.6%3.0
6. Ben Williamson (R)9.9%2.4
7. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)10.5%2.0
8. Richie Palacios (L)10.2%2.0
9. Hunter Feduccia (L)10.1%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Cam Schlittler's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.5 BF

Expected batters faced19.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)10.4%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)14.4%2.5
3. Alec Burleson (L)5.9%2.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)10.8%2.0
5. Lars Nootbaar (L)9.1%2.0
6. Masyn Winn (R)8.4%2.0
7. Nathan Church (L)8.2%2.0
8. José Fermín (R)8.9%2.0
9. Bryan Torres (L)8.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Shane Drohan's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.1% BB / BF

vs LHB9.2%
vs RHB6.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)15.3%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)6.8%3.0
3. Curtis Mead (R)8.8%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)7.8%3.0
5. Daylen Lile (L)6.0%2.4
6. Dylan Crews (R)5.7%2.0
7. José Tena (L)8.7%2.0
8. Jorbit Vivas (L)8.4%2.0
9. Keibert Ruiz (L)6.0%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Mike Burrows's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.7% BB / BF

vs LHB8.3%
vs RHB9.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.5%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.0 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Drake Baldwin (L)8.4%3.0
2. Ozzie Albies (L)9.8%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)10.3%3.0
4. Michael Harris II (L)5.3%3.0
5. Mauricio Dubón (R)8.9%3.0
6. Dominic Smith (L)6.8%2.5
7. Austin Riley (R)7.3%2.0
8. Mike Yastrzemski (L)10.5%2.0
9. Jim Jarvis (L)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Freddy Peralta's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.4% BB / BF

vs LHB10.2%
vs RHB5.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.0%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.0 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Brice Turang (L)9.9%3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)6.3%3.0
3. Christian Yelich (L)10.8%3.0
4. Andrew Vaughn (R)8.7%2.9
5. Jake Bauers (L)11.7%2.0
6. Garrett Mitchell (L)11.1%2.0
7. Gary Sánchez (R)11.5%2.0
8. David Hamilton (L)8.7%2.0
9. Joey Ortiz (R)7.8%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Dustin May's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate10.9% BB / BF

vs LHB12.3%
vs RHB7.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Nathan Lukes (L)6.5%3.0
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)7.4%3.0
3. Kazuma Okamoto (R)9.3%3.0
4. Alejandro Kirk (R)9.0%3.0
5. Daulton Varsho (L)8.2%2.6
6. Ernie Clement (R)4.7%2.0
7. Sean Keys (L)8.5%2.0
8. Luis Urías (R)10.2%2.0
9. Yohendrick Piñango (L)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Landen Roupp's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate9.6% BB / BF

vs LHB9.6%
vs RHB9.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.4%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.8 BF

Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)8.4%3.0
2. Geraldo Perdomo (L)13.7%3.0
3. Corbin Carroll (L)11.1%3.0
4. Gabriel Moreno (R)10.5%2.8
5. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)5.2%2.0
6. Ildemaro Vargas (L)6.5%2.0
7. Tim Tawa (R)9.4%2.0
8. Pavin Smith (L)10.8%2.0
9. Tommy Troy (R)8.6%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walker Buehler's full player page →

What the walks allowed board is

The Walks Allowed board projects how many free passes a starter issues. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

  • His control.
  • The lineup's patience.
  • Count leverage.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Walks are near-unpredictable at the margin and the market prices them efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

A read on a starter's command for the night; no edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays