Best MLB plays today — Sunday, June 28, 2026
Every board's highest-conviction edges in one place — where our model diverges far enough from the book to have been profitable in the season backtest. 3 plays posted. Each play is graded in the open with our running hit rate and ROI. Research signals, not betting advice — 21+.
◆ Team totals
Each club's projected runs vs its over/under — our biggest disagreements with the market, lineups final. This season team-total leans are hitting 58% — a +6% return · +16.5u net over 285 graded.
A research signal from our run model vs the market, graded in the open. Not betting advice — 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
★ Strikeouts — Plays of the Day
No identified Plays of the Day on this slate — our model didn't find a strikeout disagreement with the book big enough to clear our edge threshold. The model still ran every matchup; it just didn't flag a play worth posting today. This season strikeout PODs are hitting 64% — a +15% return · +11.3u net.
Δ shows how far our projection diverges from the book's line — the bigger the disagreement, the stronger the historical edge. Hit rates and ROI are season-to-date, graded against the posted line. Not betting advice.