MLB — your daily baseball hub
Every game and every player on the slate, scored by one model and graded in the open. Pick a lane.
Matchups
The model's read on every game — win probability, run totals, first-inning — plus live scores.
Game predictionsFantasy
DraftKings projections and a free lineup optimizer. League sync is on the way.
DFS & toolsHitter Boards
Hits, homers, total bases, steals and more — every hitter on the slate, ranked.
Open boardsPitcher Boards
Strikeouts, outs, earned runs — every starter scored against the lineup he faces.
Open boardsSchedule
Every game today and through the week — first pitch times, probable starters, and the model's win% per matchup.
This week's slateStandings
Division, wild card with the cutline drawn, league and overall — updated every morning from final scores.
Division racesStats
A page for every hitter and pitcher — form, projections, and our graded record on him.
Player pagesValue
Where the WizLine disagrees most with the sportsbook — informational leans, graded honestly.
Strongest leansStackLab
Build a same-game parlay from the posted lines — lock the legs you like, and the model fills the rest to the payout you asked for.
SoonMost “MLB picks” sites hand you a lock and forget the losers. We do the opposite: every ranking here comes from one statistical model, it's set against the real sportsbook line, and it's graded in the open — the whole track record rolls back day by day.
The model scores a star and a backup on identical terms — the matchup in front of them, not their name. Then we're honest about where that's worth betting. On most markets the book is sharp, so we publish the WizLine as graded transparency — a receipt, not a play. On a few, our detail beats the line: strikeout-prop gaps, team-total disagreements, and an emerging first-inning edge. Those get flagged ★.
Nothing final yet on Monday, October 12, 2026 — the hardest hit and longest home run post as games end.
Team
Pitching Pitcher props guide →
Hitting Batter props guide →
Tools
MLB model — FAQ
What does MatchWiz do for MLB?
It runs one statistical model over every hitter and starting pitcher on the slate, ranks the matchups, and sets the WizLine beside the sportsbook's line — then grades every call against the real result, in public. No manual picks, no hot takes.
Which MLB bets does the model actually have an edge on?
Two: strikeout props where our projection gaps far from the book's line, and team totals on our strongest run-total disagreements. Everything else — moneylines, game totals, NRFI — we publish as graded transparency, a sharp number set beside the market, because those markets are priced efficiently and our forward record on them grades out at a coin flip. We only post what we can back.
Are these betting picks?
No. They're a research signal from a model, graded in the open — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed. We post the record whether a call hits or misses so you can judge it yourself. 21+, play responsibly.
A research signal from our model vs the market, graded in the open — not betting advice. 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).