Best MLB walks allowed matchups — Thursday, July 16, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Thursday, July 16, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by walk risk against today's lineup. His command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. Tap any card for the full breakdown.
PROJSome lineups aren't official yet — 2 starts use an opposing lineup projected from that team's last game. The strikeout projection updates automatically once the official lineup posts, ~2 hours before first pitch.
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#Pitcher · MatchupScore
Pitcher walks Rate7.1% BB / BF
vs LHB8.8%
vs RHB5.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.3%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. A.J. Ewing (L)8.2%3.0
2. Juan Soto (L)17.8%3.0
3. Francisco Lindor (L)7.8%3.0
4. Eric Wagaman (R)7.5%3.0
5. Carson Benge (L)8.6%2.6
6. Tyrone Taylor (R)7.2%2.0
7. Luis Torrens (R)7.9%2.0
8. Brett Baty (L)8.4%2.0
9. Zack Short (R)8.3%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
No BB recorded yet today — leaders fill in live as games get underway.
Grades post here as games go final — how often our top-ranked matchups hit, vs the season.
Best MLB Walks Allowed Matchups — Thursday, July 16, 2026
Aaron Nola (PHI) is the top walks allowed spot on the Thursday, July 16, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.9 BB, with Christian Scott (NYM) right behind. Every starter is ranked by walk risk against today's lineup — his command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola (PHI) tops the Thursday, July 16, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.9 BB vs NYM. His command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload.
The rest of the top of the board
Christian Scott (NYM) (0) — about 2.2 BB vs PHI.
How to read the walks allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by walk risk against today's lineup — his command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. We project a walks count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best walks allowed matchup today (Thursday, July 16, 2026)?
Aaron Nola (PHI) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 1.9 BB against NYM.
What are the best pitcher walks props today?
The top projected starts on Thursday, July 16, 2026: Aaron Nola (~1.9 BB), Christian Scott (~2.2 BB). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the walks allowed score calculated?
Ranked by walk risk against today's lineup — his command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected walks count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best walks spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
What the walks allowed board is
The Walks Allowed board projects how many free passes a starter issues. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.
How the model gets its number
It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:
His control.
The lineup's patience.
Count leverage.
Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.
Is there a betting edge here?
Walks are near-unpredictable at the margin and the market prices them efficiently. Transparency board.
How to use it
A read on a starter's command for the night; no edge to bet.
Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.
