MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · P · Detroit Tigers

Burch Smith

Burch Smith — 0-2, 3.18 ERA this season. The model's read on his matchups, graded in the open.

Today's top board
No game on the current slate
Season line · ERA
3.18
0-2 · 20 K, 1.47 WHIP
Games graded
13
this season, box-score final
Burch Smith
PBats RThrows RDetroit Tigers

Today's matchup

Burch isn't on the current slate — no scored matchup right now. His recent game log and season record are below, and this page updates the moment he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Last time out, Burch struck out 1 over 0.7 innings, 1 earned. His recent starts are in the game log below.

Burch's recent starts

Over his last 5 starts, Burch has 4 strikeouts in 5.3 innings. Strikeouts are where our model has a real, graded edge — his start-by-start log is below.

How the model reads him

Burch's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppIPKHERBB
Thursday, May 21vs CLE0.71211
Tuesday, May 19vs CLE1.00100
Sunday, May 17vs TOR1.31100
Friday, May 15vs TOR2.01100
Tuesday, May 12@ NYM0.31112
Saturday, May 9@ KC0.30320
Wednesday, May 6vs BOS1.01001
Tuesday, May 5vs BOS2.04100
Sunday, May 3vs TEX1.00100
Friday, May 1vs TEX2.03310
Tuesday, April 28@ ATL2.04211
Saturday, April 25@ CIN2.03101

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).