MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · P · Cincinnati Reds

Emilio Pagán

Emilio Pagán — 2-1, 6.28 ERA this season. The model's read on his matchups, graded in the open.

Today's top board
No game on the current slate
Season line · ERA
6.28
2-1 · 12 K, 1.40 WHIP
Games graded
16
this season, box-score final
Emilio Pagán
PBats LThrows RCincinnati Reds

Today's matchup

Emilio isn't on the current slate — no scored matchup right now. His recent game log and season record are below, and this page updates the moment he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Last time out, Emilio struck out 1 over 0.3 innings, 0 earned. His recent starts are in the game log below.

Emilio's recent starts

Over his last 5 starts, Emilio has 2 strikeouts in 3.0 innings. Strikeouts are where our model has a real, graded edge — his start-by-start log is below.

How the model reads him

Emilio's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppIPKHERBB
Wednesday, July 1@ MIL0.31000
Tuesday, May 5@ CHC0.00000
Monday, May 4@ CHC0.71220
Thursday, April 30vs COL1.00320
Saturday, April 25vs DET1.00100
Sunday, April 19@ MIN1.00210
Friday, April 17@ MIN1.01000
Tuesday, April 14vs SF1.01000
Saturday, April 11vs LAA1.00001
Tuesday, April 7@ MIA1.02002
Monday, April 6@ MIA1.00000
Saturday, April 4@ TEX1.01102

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).