MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · P · Athletics

Justin Sterner

Justin Sterner — 2-3, 3.96 ERA this season. The model's read on his matchups, graded in the open.

Today's top board
No game on the current slate
Season line · ERA
3.96
2-3 · 40 K, 1.14 WHIP
Games graded
40
this season, box-score final
Justin Sterner
PBats RThrows RAthletics

Today's matchup

Justin isn't on the current slate — no scored matchup right now. His recent game log and season record are below, and this page updates the moment he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Last time out, Justin struck out 2 over 1.0 innings, 0 earned. His recent starts are in the game log below.

Justin's recent starts

Over his last 5 starts, Justin has 6 strikeouts in 4.7 innings. Strikeouts are where our model has a real, graded edge — his start-by-start log is below.

How the model reads him

Justin's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppIPKHERBB
Monday, June 29vs LAD1.02100
Saturday, June 27@ LAA1.02100
Thursday, June 25@ SF0.31110
Wednesday, June 24@ SF1.00000
Friday, June 19vs LAA1.31441
Tuesday, June 16vs PIT1.02200
Monday, June 15vs PIT1.02001
Friday, June 12vs COL1.01110
Monday, June 8vs MIL0.31100
Sunday, June 7@ HOU0.71000
Wednesday, June 3@ CHC1.01000
Tuesday, June 2@ CHC1.00000

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).