MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Strikeouts · Tuesday, March 31, 2026

TEX @ BAL Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, March 31, 2026

TEX
TEX
Texas Rangers
85
Final
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
BAL
Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft 82°F Partly CloudyWind 17 mph, Out To CF

TEX Jacob deGrom · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.5% K / BF

vs LHB29.8%
vs RHB24.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOLBetOnline-130+100
BRBetRivers-122-108
BOVBovada-125-105
DKDraftKings-137+107
FDFanDuel-128-104
MBMyBookie-133-104

We project 6.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Jacob deGrom's full player page →
BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)21.8%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)24.4%3.0 PA
3Pete Alonso (R)24.9%3.0 PA
4Adley Rutschman (L)21.1%3.0 PA
5Samuel Basallo (L)24.1%3.0 PA
6Tyler O'Neill (R)21.7%2.0 PA
7Colton Cowser (L)24.1%2.0 PA
8Jeremiah Jackson (R)25.0%2.0 PA
9Blaze Alexander (R)24.1%2.0 PA

BAL Zach Eflin · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.7% K / BF

vs LHB19.6%
vs RHB17.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOLBetOnline-154+118
BRBetRivers-157+117
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-159+125
FANFanatics-160+120
FDFanDuel-168+126
MBMyBookie-154+111

We project 4.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Zach Eflin's full player page →
TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Brandon Nimmo (L)22.0%3.0 PA
2Wyatt Langford (R)19.3%3.0 PA
3Corey Seager (L)20.8%3.0 PA
4Jake Burger (R)25.4%3.0 PA
5Joc Pederson (L)21.4%3.0 PA
6Josh Smith (L)19.7%2.0 PA
7Danny Jansen (R)23.4%2.0 PA
8Evan Carter (L)20.5%2.0 PA
9Ezequiel Duran (R)22.7%2.0 PA