MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

AZ @ MIA Hits Allowed matchups · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

AZ
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
08
Final
MIA
Miami Marlins
MIA
loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

AZ Ryne Nelson · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.9% Hits / BF

vs LHB21.9%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.2 BF

Expected batters faced25.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Liam Hicks (L)22.4%3.0 PA
2Otto Lopez (R)26.3%3.0 PA
3Kyle Stowers (L)21.6%3.0 PA
4Xavier Edwards (L)24.5%3.0 PA
5Heriberto Hernández (R)22.5%3.0 PA
6Jakob Marsee (L)20.7%3.0 PA
7Christopher Morel (R)22.5%3.0 PA
8Owen Caissie (L)22.5%2.2 PA
9Javier Sanoja (R)22.5%2.0 PA

MIA Ryan Gusto · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate26.3% Hits / BF

vs LHB24.9%
vs RHB24.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload15.5 BF

Expected batters faced15.5
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.7 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)19.4%2.0 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)20.6%2.0 PA
3Gabriel Moreno (R)23.0%2.0 PA
4Nolan Arenado (R)22.6%2.0 PA
5Pavin Smith (L)20.9%2.0 PA
6Geraldo Perdomo (L)23.3%2.0 PA
7Ildemaro Vargas (L)22.5%1.5 PA
8Ryan Waldschmidt (R)22.7%1.0 PA
9Tommy Troy (R)19.8%1.0 PA