MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

CHC @ COL Hits Allowed matchups · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

CHC
CHC
Chicago Cubs
23
Final
COL
Colorado Rockies
COL
Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft 88°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, R To L

CHC Shota Imanaga · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.5% Hits / BF

vs LHB20.4%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.5 BF

Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

COL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Willi Castro (R)24.9%3.0 PA
2Kyle Karros (R)23.2%3.0 PA
3TJ Rumfield (L)21.9%3.0 PA
4Hunter Goodman (R)22.1%3.0 PA
5Ezequiel Tovar (R)21.0%3.0 PA
6Cole Carrigg (R)22.5%3.0 PA
7Troy Johnston (L)20.7%2.5 PA
8Braxton Fulford (R)22.5%2.0 PA
9Chad Stevens (R)22.5%2.0 PA

COL Michael Lorenzen · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate29.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB30.7%
vs RHB25.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.7 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)24.5%3.0 PA
2Moisés Ballesteros (L)22.5%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)21.6%3.0 PA
4Alex Bregman (R)22.4%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (L)24.7%3.0 PA
6Seiya Suzuki (R)23.4%2.2 PA
7Nico Hoerner (R)20.7%2.0 PA
8Michael Conforto (L)22.5%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)18.5%2.0 PA