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Hits Allowed · Saturday, June 20, 2026

TOR @ CHC Hits Allowed matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026

TOR
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
vs
2:20 PM EDT
CHC
Chicago Cubs
CHC
Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft

TOR Patrick Corbin · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.5% Hits / BF

vs LHB21.9%
vs RHB26.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.2%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)23.8%3.0 PA
2Alex Bregman (R)21.7%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)21.8%3.0 PA
4Seiya Suzuki (R)23.5%2.5 PA
5Ian Happ (R)19.2%2.0 PA
6Matt Shaw (R)23.6%2.0 PA
7Nico Hoerner (R)24.9%2.0 PA
8Carson Kelly (R)25.8%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)20.8%2.0 PA

CHC Colin Rea · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.9% Hits / BF

vs LHB26.6%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.7 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)21.7%3.0 PA
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)23.1%3.0 PA
3Jesús Sánchez (L)26.3%3.0 PA
4Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.5%3.0 PA
5Alejandro Kirk (R)22.1%3.0 PA
6Nathan Lukes (L)27.5%2.2 PA
7Kazuma Okamoto (R)22.5%2.0 PA
8Davis Schneider (R)21.4%2.0 PA
9Andrés Giménez (L)22.8%2.0 PA