‹ Hits Allowed · Sunday, June 21, 2026
STL @ KC Hits Allowed matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
vs
2:10 PM EDT
KC
Kansas City Royals
◆ Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft
Dustin May · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.8%
vs RHB19.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.4 BF
Expected batters faced24.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carter Jensen (L)21.9%3.0 PA
2Lane Thomas (R)20.0%3.0 PA
3Jac Caglianone (L)23.0%3.0 PA
4Salvador Perez (R)20.0%3.0 PA
5Michael Massey (L)23.7%3.0 PA
6Nick Loftin (R)21.4%3.0 PA
7John Rave (L)22.1%2.4 PA
8Isaac Collins (L)20.0%2.0 PA
9Tyler Tolbert (R)23.3%2.0 PA
Stephen Kolek · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.6%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.3 BF
Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)22.7%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)21.4%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)27.5%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)24.5%3.0 PA
5Lars Nootbaar (L)22.2%3.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)21.6%3.0 PA
7Jimmy Crooks (L)18.8%2.3 PA
8Blaze Jordan (R)22.5%2.0 PA
9Nathan Church (L)24.0%2.0 PA