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Hits Allowed · Sunday, June 21, 2026

TOR @ CHC Hits Allowed matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026

TOR
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
vs
2:20 PM EDT
CHC
Chicago Cubs
CHC
Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft

TOR Dylan Cease · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.2% Hits / BF

vs LHB19.3%
vs RHB20.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)24.4%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)26.3%3.0 PA
2Nico Hoerner (R)19.4%3.0 PA
3Seiya Suzuki (R)23.7%3.0 PA
4Michael Busch (L)21.0%3.0 PA
5Alex Bregman (R)21.8%3.0 PA
6Ian Happ (L)20.9%2.7 PA
7Matt Shaw (R)23.4%2.0 PA
8Miguel Amaya (R)22.2%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)17.8%2.0 PA

CHC Shota Imanaga · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.7% Hits / BF

vs LHB20.9%
vs RHB21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

TOR lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)20.4%3.0 PA
2Nathan Lukes (L)19.9%3.0 PA
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)23.8%3.0 PA
4Brandon Valenzuela (R)22.0%3.0 PA
5Kazuma Okamoto (R)21.1%3.0 PA
6Daulton Varsho (L)23.3%2.5 PA
7Davis Schneider (R)18.6%2.0 PA
8Andrés Giménez (L)21.3%2.0 PA
9Myles Straw (R)22.1%2.0 PA