MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Sunday, June 21, 2026

MIL @ ATL Hits Allowed matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026

MIL
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
vs
1:35 PM EDT
ATL
Atlanta Braves
ATL
Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft

MIL Robert Gasser · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.5% Hits / BF

vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Mauricio Dubón (R)21.4%3.0 PA
2Drake Baldwin (L)24.5%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)24.7%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (R)26.2%3.0 PA
5Michael Harris II (L)25.6%2.0 PA
6Austin Riley (R)23.3%2.0 PA
7Eli White (R)23.1%2.0 PA
8Joey Bart (R)20.5%2.0 PA
9Jorge Mateo (R)23.3%2.0 PA

ATL Bryce Elder · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB21.2%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jackson Chourio (R)24.7%3.0 PA
2Brice Turang (L)23.6%3.0 PA
3William Contreras (R)23.0%3.0 PA
4Gary Sánchez (R)21.4%3.0 PA
5Andrew Vaughn (R)22.6%3.0 PA
6Blake Perkins (L)18.1%2.9 PA
7Garrett Mitchell (L)25.3%2.0 PA
8Cooper Pratt (R)22.5%2.0 PA
9Joey Ortiz (R)19.6%2.0 PA