Best MLB Runs Matchups — Sunday, June 14, 2026
Top runs spot: Jeremy Peña
Jeremy Peña (HOU) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Stephen Kolek. The righty is scoring at .168 R/PA against righties this year — and .250 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a run in about 16% of his trips. And Stephen Kolek has been getting lit up by righties lately — .167 runs per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Stephen Kolek. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- JJ Bleday (CIN) (88) vs RHP Zac Gallen: a strong bat at .137 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.239).
- Miguel Vargas (CWS) (87) vs RHP Emmet Sheehan: an excellent bat at .158 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.286).
- James Wood (WSH) (85) vs RHP Emerson Hancock: an elite bat at .172 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.045), hot bat.
- Iván Herrera (STL) (84) vs RHP Taj Bradley: a strong bat at .147 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.167).
- Taylor Ward (BAL) (83) vs RHP Walker Buehler: an excellent bat at .152 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.083).
- Mike Trout (LAA) (82) vs RHP Casey Legumina: an excellent bat at .154 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.105).
- Kyle Schwarber (PHI) (82) vs LHP Kyle Harrison: a strong bat at .145 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.300).
Platoon edges to target
- JJ Bleday (CIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .153 against righties this year.
- James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .209 against righties this year.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .163 against righties this year.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .159 against righties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .155 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these runs matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's runs scored per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.