Best MLB Runs Matchups — Monday, June 15, 2026
Top runs spot: James Wood
James Wood (WSH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Mitch Spence. The lefty is scoring at .211 R/PA against righties this year — and .227 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a run in about 18% of his trips. And Mitch Spence has been thin against righties lately — — runs per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Mitch Spence. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (86) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: an excellent bat at .160 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.063), hot bat.
- Kevin McGonigle (DET) (82) vs RHP Kai-Wei Teng: an excellent bat at .155 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.304).
- Wade Meckler (LAA) (78) vs RHP Ryne Nelson: an excellent bat at .156 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.244), due to bounce back.
- CJ Abrams (WSH) (78) vs RHP Mitch Spence: an excellent bat at .159 into an arm with little track record against the same side (—).
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (73) vs RHP Nick Martinez: an excellent bat at .168 into an arm letting runs score against the same side (.120).
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (73) vs RHP Jared Jones: a strong bat at .144 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.105), hot bat.
- Alex Bregman (CHC) (72) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a league-average bat at .115 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.320).
Platoon edges to target
- James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .211 against righties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .158 against righties this year.
- Kevin McGonigle (DET) — lefty bat vs RHP, .160 against righties this year.
- Wade Meckler (LAA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .167 against righties this year.
- CJ Abrams (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .171 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
180 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these runs matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's runs scored per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.