MatchWiz
Runs · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

MIA @ PHI Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

MIA
MIA
Miami Marlins
vs
6:40 PM EDT
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI
Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft

MIA MIA Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from MIA's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 BF
Season.09375 BF
Last 2 Years.075253 BF
wOBA allowed.228
Hard-Hit %13%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13537 BF
Season.126261 BF
Last 2 Years.125861 BF
wOBA allowed.351
Hard-Hit %30%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.2229 PA
Season.08746 PA
Last 2 Years.107112 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11vs AZ0
Jun 12@ PIT3
Jun 13@ PIT0
Jun 14@ PIT1
Jun 15@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.102

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.09375 PA
Last 2 Years.075253 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.126

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.150206 PA
Season.109973 PA
Last 2 Years.1073338 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.290
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.273
Hard-Hit % Allowed26%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Runs0.534

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA
Season.14370 PA
Last 2 Years.096365 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11vs AZ1
Jun 12@ PIT1
Jun 13@ PIT0
Jun 14@ PIT1
Jun 15@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.125

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13537 PA
Season.126261 PA
Last 2 Years.125861 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.104

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.102226 PA
Season.1061111 PA
Last 2 Years.0964388 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.359
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.354
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances15

Projection

Projected Runs0.536

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.087

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.04643 PA
Last 2 Years.043188 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11vs AZ1
Jun 12@ PIT1
Jun 13@ PIT0
Jun 14@ PIT0
Jun 15@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.102

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.09375 PA
Last 2 Years.075253 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.126

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.150206 PA
Season.109973 PA
Last 2 Years.1073338 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.281
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.273
Hard-Hit % Allowed26%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.429
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Runs0.438

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.133

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA
Season.20967 PA
Last 2 Years.110355 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11vs AZ0
Jun 12@ PIT0
Jun 13@ PIT1
Jun 14@ PIT0
Jun 15@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.125

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13537 PA
Season.126261 PA
Last 2 Years.125861 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.104

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.102226 PA
Season.1061111 PA
Last 2 Years.0964388 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.354
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.154
Plate Appearances13

Projection

Projected Runs0.547

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23113 PA
Season.08261 PA
Last 2 Years.092185 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11vs AZ0
Jun 12@ PIT1
Jun 13@ PIT0
Jun 14@ PIT1
Jun 15@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.125

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13537 PA
Season.126261 PA
Last 2 Years.125861 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.104

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.102226 PA
Season.1061111 PA
Last 2 Years.0964388 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.354
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Runs0.505

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.07128 PA
Last 2 Years.07128 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10vs AZ1
Jun 11vs AZ0
Jun 12@ PIT0
Jun 14@ PIT0
Jun 15@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.102

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.09375 PA
Last 2 Years.075253 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.126

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.150206 PA
Season.109973 PA
Last 2 Years.1073338 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.273
Hard-Hit % Allowed26%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Runs0.444

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.142

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.3339 PA
Season.15166 PA
Last 2 Years.129147 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11vs AZ0
Jun 12@ PIT0
Jun 13@ PIT1
Jun 14@ PIT0
Jun 15@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.102

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.09375 PA
Last 2 Years.075253 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.126

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.150206 PA
Season.109973 PA
Last 2 Years.1073338 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.273
Hard-Hit % Allowed26%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Runs0.512

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 9vs AZ3
Jun 11vs AZ0
Jun 12@ PIT0
Jun 14@ PIT1
Jun 15@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.102

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.09375 PA
Last 2 Years.075253 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.126

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.150206 PA
Season.109973 PA
Last 2 Years.1073338 PA

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.273
Hard-Hit % Allowed26%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.45

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.07752 PA
Last 2 Years.093205 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11vs AZ0
Jun 12@ PIT2
Jun 13@ PIT0
Jun 14@ PIT0
Jun 15@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.125

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13537 PA
Season.126261 PA
Last 2 Years.125861 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.104

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.102226 PA
Season.1061111 PA
Last 2 Years.0964388 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.354
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.231
Plate Appearances13

Projection

Projected Runs0.417

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

PHI PHI Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from PHI's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09521 BF
Season.054110 BF
Last 2 Years.099334 BF
wOBA allowed.301
Hard-Hit %26%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 BF
Season.06297 BF
Last 2 Years.095346 BF
wOBA allowed.271
Hard-Hit %24%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.116

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05735 PA
Season.138189 PA
Last 2 Years.156898 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10@ TOR2
Jun 12@ MIL0
Jun 13@ MIL0
Jun 14@ MIL0
Jun 15vs MIA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.096

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09521 PA
Season.054110 PA
Last 2 Years.099334 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.095

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.066258 PA
Season.112892 PA
Last 2 Years.1232779 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.346
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Runs0.492

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.116

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA
Season.127205 PA
Last 2 Years.135921 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10@ TOR0
Jun 12@ MIL0
Jun 13@ MIL0
Jun 14@ MIL0
Jun 15vs MIA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.091

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.06297 PA
Last 2 Years.095346 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.105153 PA
Season.100699 PA
Last 2 Years.1172709 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.287
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Runs0.492

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.175

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30030 PA
Season.190179 PA
Last 2 Years.140769 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10@ TOR3
Jun 12@ MIL0
Jun 13@ MIL1
Jun 14@ MIL0
Jun 15vs MIA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.096

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09521 PA
Season.054110 PA
Last 2 Years.099334 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.095

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.066258 PA
Season.112892 PA
Last 2 Years.1232779 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.371
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Runs0.601

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.128

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11435 PA
Season.148189 PA
Last 2 Years.139770 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10@ TOR0
Jun 12@ MIL0
Jun 13@ MIL2
Jun 14@ MIL0
Jun 15vs MIA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.096

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09521 PA
Season.054110 PA
Last 2 Years.099334 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.095

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.066258 PA
Season.112892 PA
Last 2 Years.1232779 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.356
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Runs0.487

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.097

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07739 PA
Season.081198 PA
Last 2 Years.107902 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10@ TOR0
Jun 12@ MIL0
Jun 13@ MIL2
Jun 14@ MIL0
Jun 15vs MIA2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.096

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09521 PA
Season.054110 PA
Last 2 Years.099334 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.095

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.066258 PA
Season.112892 PA
Last 2 Years.1232779 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Runs0.409

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.111

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA
Season.099131 PA
Last 2 Years.110661 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 9@ TOR0
Jun 10@ TOR0
Jun 12@ MIL0
Jun 13@ MIL1
Jun 15vs MIA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.091

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.06297 PA
Last 2 Years.095346 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.105153 PA
Season.100699 PA
Last 2 Years.1172709 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Runs0.43

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 2 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ MIL0
Jun 15vs MIA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.096

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09521 PA
Season.054110 PA
Last 2 Years.099334 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.095

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.066258 PA
Season.112892 PA
Last 2 Years.1232779 PA

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.425

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.080

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.061179 PA
Last 2 Years.061179 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10@ TOR1
Jun 12@ MIL0
Jun 13@ MIL0
Jun 14@ MIL0
Jun 15vs MIA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.096

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09521 PA
Season.054110 PA
Last 2 Years.099334 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.095

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.066258 PA
Season.112892 PA
Last 2 Years.1232779 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.287
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Runs0.342

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~1.6× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.2005 PA
Season.10647 PA
Last 2 Years.115269 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 8@ TOR0
Jun 9@ TOR0
Jun 13@ MIL2
Jun 14@ MIL0
Jun 15vs MIA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.091

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.06297 PA
Last 2 Years.095346 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.105153 PA
Season.100699 PA
Last 2 Years.1172709 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.416

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.