Best MLB Runs Matchups — Tuesday, June 16, 2026
Top runs spot: James Wood
James Wood (WSH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Michael Wacha. The lefty is scoring at .215 R/PA against righties this year — and .267 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a run in about 19% of his trips. And Michael Wacha has been getting lit up by righties lately — .194 runs per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Michael Wacha too — .333 across 6 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Hunter Goodman (COL) (96) vs RHP Edward Cabrera: an excellent bat at .157 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.571).
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (89) vs RHP Mitch Keller: a strong bat at .148 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.176), hot bat.
- Wade Meckler (LAA) (88) vs RHP Merrill Kelly: a strong bat at .147 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.200).
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (87) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: a strong bat at .149 into an arm letting runs score against the same side (.120), hot bat.
- Tyler Freeman (COL) (84) vs RHP Edward Cabrera: a solid bat at .125 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.571).
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (81) vs RHP Drew Rasmussen: an excellent bat at .166 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.000), due to bounce back.
- Iván Herrera (STL) (80) vs RHP Michael King: an excellent bat at .156 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.167), due to bounce back.
Platoon edges to target
- James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .215 against righties this year.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .162 against righties this year.
- Wade Meckler (LAA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .164 against righties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .155 against righties this year.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .162 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these runs matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's runs scored per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.