MatchWiz
Runs · Wednesday, June 17, 2026

SD @ STL Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 17, 2026

SD
SD
San Diego Padres
vs
2:15 PM EDT
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft

SD SD Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from SD's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09521 BF
Season.134157 BF
Last 2 Years.117366 BF
wOBA allowed.412
Hard-Hit %47%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.25020 BF
Season.090134 BF
Last 2 Years.087402 BF
wOBA allowed.315
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.114

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12548 PA
Season.087240 PA
Last 2 Years.143847 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ BAL1
Jun 13@ BAL1
Jun 14@ BAL0
Jun 15@ STL0
Jun 16@ STL1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.125

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.25020 PA
Season.090134 PA
Last 2 Years.087402 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.097206 PA
Season.1161100 PA
Last 2 Years.1263998 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Runs0.544

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.115

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10040 PA
Season.115209 PA
Last 2 Years.137787 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ BAL0
Jun 13@ BAL1
Jun 14@ BAL0
Jun 15@ STL0
Jun 16@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09521 PA
Season.134157 PA
Last 2 Years.117366 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.115

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.109174 PA
Season.1151066 PA
Last 2 Years.1253217 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.296
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.349
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Runs0.529

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.106

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.106216 PA
Last 2 Years.1181019 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ BAL1
Jun 13@ BAL2
Jun 14@ BAL0
Jun 15@ STL0
Jun 16@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.125

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.25020 PA
Season.090134 PA
Last 2 Years.087402 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.097206 PA
Season.1161100 PA
Last 2 Years.1263998 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.284
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Runs0.503

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.116

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA
Season.117197 PA
Last 2 Years.120785 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ BAL0
Jun 13@ BAL2
Jun 14@ BAL0
Jun 15@ STL0
Jun 16@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.125

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.25020 PA
Season.090134 PA
Last 2 Years.087402 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.097206 PA
Season.1161100 PA
Last 2 Years.1263998 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Runs0.515

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.7× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.130

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15133 PA
Season.140186 PA
Last 2 Years.113781 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ BAL0
Jun 13@ BAL1
Jun 14@ BAL0
Jun 15@ STL0
Jun 16@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09521 PA
Season.134157 PA
Last 2 Years.117366 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.115

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.109174 PA
Season.1151066 PA
Last 2 Years.1253217 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.349
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Runs0.524

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 8-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.120

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13023 PA
Season.13023 PA
Last 2 Years.11526 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10vs CIN0
Jun 12@ BAL0
Jun 13@ BAL1
Jun 14@ BAL1
Jun 16@ STL1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.125

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.25020 PA
Season.090134 PA
Last 2 Years.087402 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.097206 PA
Season.1161100 PA
Last 2 Years.1263998 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.348
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.488

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.101

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.11596 PA
Last 2 Years.094678 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 9vs CIN0
Jun 10vs CIN0
Jun 12@ BAL1
Jun 15@ STL0
Jun 16@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.125

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.25020 PA
Season.090134 PA
Last 2 Years.087402 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.097206 PA
Season.1161100 PA
Last 2 Years.1263998 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.294
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Runs0.436

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.120

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14314 PA
Season.14314 PA
Last 2 Years.101207 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ BAL0
Jun 13@ BAL0
Jun 14@ BAL2
Jun 15@ STL0
Jun 16@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09521 PA
Season.134157 PA
Last 2 Years.117366 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.115

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.109174 PA
Season.1151066 PA
Last 2 Years.1253217 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.360
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.349
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.461

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10vs CIN1
Jun 13@ BAL1
Jun 14@ BAL2
Jun 15@ STL0
Jun 16@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.125

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.25020 PA
Season.090134 PA
Last 2 Years.087402 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.097206 PA
Season.1161100 PA
Last 2 Years.1263998 PA

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Runs0.446

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

STL STL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from STL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).
?
Probable pitcher not announcedMatchups for this lineup are shown neutrally for now and will sharpen automatically once the opposing starter is posted (usually a day or two before first pitch).
Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.149

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19042 PA
Season.153295 PA
Last 2 Years.153295 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11@ NYM0
Jun 12@ MIN1
Jun 14@ MIN1
Jun 15vs SD0
Jun 16vs SD0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.105237 PA
Season.1011126 PA
Last 2 Years.1053921 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.609

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.156

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.21760 PA
Season.146314 PA
Last 2 Years.137849 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ MIN1
Jun 13@ MIN2
Jun 14@ MIN0
Jun 15vs SD1
Jun 16vs SD1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.108

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.109230 PA
Season.105976 PA
Last 2 Years.1073964 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.366
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.614

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 16-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.154

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23759 PA
Season.131298 PA
Last 2 Years.1181223 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ MIN2
Jun 13@ MIN1
Jun 14@ MIN1
Jun 15vs SD0
Jun 16vs SD0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.105237 PA
Season.1011126 PA
Last 2 Years.1053921 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.375
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.594

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.130

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11959 PA
Season.157293 PA
Last 2 Years.123800 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ MIN0
Jun 13@ MIN1
Jun 14@ MIN0
Jun 15vs SD0
Jun 16vs SD0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.108

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.109230 PA
Season.105976 PA
Last 2 Years.1073964 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.351
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.532

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.123

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13537 PA
Season.13537 PA
Last 2 Years.114861 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ MIN1
Jun 13@ MIN1
Jun 14@ MIN0
Jun 15vs SD1
Jun 16vs SD1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.105237 PA
Season.1011126 PA
Last 2 Years.1053921 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.503

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.114

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11552 PA
Season.099263 PA
Last 2 Years.1321209 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ MIN1
Jun 13@ MIN1
Jun 14@ MIN0
Jun 15vs SD1
Jun 16vs SD0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.108

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.109230 PA
Season.105976 PA
Last 2 Years.1073964 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.291
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.463

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.101

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08025 PA
Season.07128 PA
Last 2 Years.06874 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 9@ NYM0
Jun 11@ NYM1
Jun 12@ MIN1
Jun 15vs SD0
Jun 16vs SD0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.105237 PA
Season.1011126 PA
Last 2 Years.1053921 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.424

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ MIN0
Jun 13@ MIN2
Jun 14@ MIN0
Jun 15vs SD0
Jun 16vs SD1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.108

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.109230 PA
Season.105976 PA
Last 2 Years.1073964 PA

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.448

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13622 PA
Season.112178 PA
Last 2 Years.119243 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ MIN0
Jun 13@ MIN0
Jun 14@ MIN1
Jun 15vs SD0
Jun 16vs SD0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.105237 PA
Season.1011126 PA
Last 2 Years.1053921 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.438

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.