MatchWiz
Runs · Wednesday, June 17, 2026

BAL @ SEA Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 17, 2026

BAL
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
vs
9:40 PM EDT
SEA
Seattle Mariners
SEA
T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft

BAL BAL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from BAL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.143

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19252 PA
Season.138247 PA
Last 2 Years.1221108 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11vs SEA2
Jun 12vs SD1
Jun 13vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD0
Jun 16@ SEA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.092

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.096146 PA
Last 2 Years.104663 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.212
Plate Appearances33

Projection

Projected Runs0.584

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.142

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.18449 PA
Season.127237 PA
Last 2 Years.157970 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11vs SEA1
Jun 12vs SD2
Jun 13vs SD1
Jun 14vs SD0
Jun 16@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16724 PA
Season.103175 PA
Last 2 Years.102648 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.342
Hard-Hit %43%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.421
Plate Appearances19

Projection

Projected Runs0.591

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.135

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19431 PA
Season.132136 PA
Last 2 Years.111651 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 7@ TOR0
Jun 11vs SEA1
Jun 12vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD0
Jun 16@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16724 PA
Season.103175 PA
Last 2 Years.102648 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.350
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.210
Plate Appearances19

Projection

Projected Runs0.562

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.158

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23447 PA
Season.150227 PA
Last 2 Years.1361037 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11vs SEA1
Jun 12vs SD1
Jun 13vs SD1
Jun 14vs SD0
Jun 16@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.092

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.096146 PA
Last 2 Years.104663 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.378
Hard-Hit %43%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances10

Projection

Projected Runs0.58

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.135

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17229 PA
Season.146164 PA
Last 2 Years.117257 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11vs SEA0
Jun 12vs SD1
Jun 13vs SD1
Jun 14vs SD0
Jun 16@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16724 PA
Season.103175 PA
Last 2 Years.102648 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.537

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.124

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10339 PA
Season.156154 PA
Last 2 Years.114563 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10vs SEA2
Jun 11vs SEA0
Jun 13vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD0
Jun 16@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16724 PA
Season.103175 PA
Last 2 Years.102648 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.294
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances18

Projection

Projected Runs0.494

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.142

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.18244 PA
Season.147156 PA
Last 2 Years.132672 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11vs SEA1
Jun 12vs SD1
Jun 13vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD0
Jun 16@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16724 PA
Season.103175 PA
Last 2 Years.102648 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.347
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.273
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Runs0.521

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.124

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13829 PA
Season.132114 PA
Last 2 Years.113318 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 9vs SEA0
Jun 10vs SEA0
Jun 13vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD1
Jun 16@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.092

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.096146 PA
Last 2 Years.104663 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.369
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Runs0.446

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.124

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10538 PA
Season.16268 PA
Last 2 Years.120669 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11vs SEA1
Jun 12vs SD0
Jun 13vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD0
Jun 16@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16724 PA
Season.103175 PA
Last 2 Years.102648 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Runs0.46

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

SEA SEA Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from SEA's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.143161 PA
Last 2 Years.120769 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 1vs NYM0
Jun 2vs NYM0
Jun 3vs NYM1
Jun 5@ DET1
Jun 16vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07427 PA
Season.115139 PA
Last 2 Years.124283 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.353
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Runs0.543

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.108130 PA
Last 2 Years.134902 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

May 10@ CWS0
May 11@ HOU0
May 12@ HOU3
May 13@ HOU0
Jun 16vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07427 PA
Season.115139 PA
Last 2 Years.124283 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.143
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Runs0.527

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11851 PA
Season.113239 PA
Last 2 Years.132992 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11@ BAL0
Jun 12@ WSH1
Jun 13@ WSH0
Jun 14@ WSH0
Jun 16vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.109

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.110100 PA
Last 2 Years.160212 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.285
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Runs0.517

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.149

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.21038 PA
Season.151165 PA
Last 2 Years.136448 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11@ BAL1
Jun 12@ WSH2
Jun 13@ WSH0
Jun 14@ WSH0
Jun 16vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07427 PA
Season.115139 PA
Last 2 Years.124283 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.400
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Runs0.574

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.06316 PA
Last 2 Years.102166 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 5@ DET0
Jun 7@ DET0
Jun 9@ BAL1
Jun 13@ WSH0
Jun 16vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.109

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.110100 PA
Last 2 Years.160212 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.295
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Runs0.476

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.114

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10249 PA
Season.121207 PA
Last 2 Years.113397 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11@ BAL1
Jun 12@ WSH1
Jun 13@ WSH0
Jun 14@ WSH1
Jun 16vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07427 PA
Season.115139 PA
Last 2 Years.124283 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Runs0.467

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.121

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13315 PA
Season.10020 PA
Last 2 Years.151251 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 9@ BAL1
Jun 12@ WSH1
Jun 13@ WSH0
Jun 14@ WSH0
Jun 16vs BAL1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.109

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.110100 PA
Last 2 Years.160212 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.469

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.140

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16131 PA
Season.17258 PA
Last 2 Years.17258 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11@ BAL1
Jun 12@ WSH1
Jun 13@ WSH1
Jun 14@ WSH0
Jun 16vs BAL1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07427 PA
Season.115139 PA
Last 2 Years.124283 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.362
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Runs0.495

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.102

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.05917 PA
Last 2 Years.097227 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11@ BAL0
Jun 12@ WSH0
Jun 13@ WSH1
Jun 14@ WSH0
Jun 16vs BAL1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07427 PA
Season.115139 PA
Last 2 Years.124283 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.273
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Runs0.41

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.