MatchWiz
Runs · Wednesday, June 17, 2026

MIA @ PHI Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 17, 2026

MIA
MIA
Miami Marlins
vs
1:05 PM EDT
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI
Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft

MIA MIA Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from MIA's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.27747 BF
Season.131176 BF
Last 2 Years.131176 BF
wOBA allowed.360
Hard-Hit %37%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10020 BF
Season.202109 BF
Last 2 Years.202109 BF
wOBA allowed.390
Hard-Hit %32%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.099

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02245 PA
Season.122238 PA
Last 2 Years.136861 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ PIT0
Jun 13@ PIT1
Jun 14@ PIT0
Jun 15@ PHI0
Jun 16@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.161

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.27747 PA
Season.131176 PA
Last 2 Years.131176 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.109

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.113160 PA
Season.103809 PA
Last 2 Years.1043209 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.379
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Runs0.56

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.154

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.22549 PA
Season.147232 PA
Last 2 Years.131849 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ PIT1
Jun 13@ PIT0
Jun 14@ PIT1
Jun 15@ PHI0
Jun 16@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.144

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10020 PA
Season.202109 PA
Last 2 Years.202109 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.103

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.102226 PA
Season.1011195 PA
Last 2 Years.0994875 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.347
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.348
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Runs0.646

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 8-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.152

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.21347 PA
Season.157223 PA
Last 2 Years.117547 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ PIT3
Jun 13@ PIT0
Jun 14@ PIT1
Jun 15@ PHI0
Jun 16@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.161

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.27747 PA
Season.131176 PA
Last 2 Years.131176 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.109

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.113160 PA
Season.103809 PA
Last 2 Years.1043209 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.375
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.379
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Runs0.658

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.130

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.18527 PA
Season.10685 PA
Last 2 Years.145255 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ PIT1
Jun 13@ PIT0
Jun 14@ PIT1
Jun 15@ PHI0
Jun 16@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.144

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10020 PA
Season.202109 PA
Last 2 Years.202109 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.103

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.102226 PA
Season.1011195 PA
Last 2 Years.0994875 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %43%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.348
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.568

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.111

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16025 PA
Season.070114 PA
Last 2 Years.106339 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ PIT2
Jun 13@ PIT0
Jun 14@ PIT0
Jun 15@ PHI0
Jun 16@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.144

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10020 PA
Season.202109 PA
Last 2 Years.202109 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.103

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.102226 PA
Season.1011195 PA
Last 2 Years.0994875 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.291
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.348
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.505

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.101

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.08945 PA
Last 2 Years.088205 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 6vs TB1
Jun 9vs AZ0
Jun 13@ PIT0
Jun 15@ PHI0
Jun 16@ PHI1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.144

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10020 PA
Season.202109 PA
Last 2 Years.202109 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.103

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.102226 PA
Season.1011195 PA
Last 2 Years.0994875 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.279
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.348
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.459

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.121

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.19431 PA
Last 2 Years.19436 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11vs AZ0
Jun 13@ PIT0
Jun 14@ PIT0
Jun 15@ PHI0
Jun 16@ PHI1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.144

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10020 PA
Season.202109 PA
Last 2 Years.202109 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.103

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.102226 PA
Season.1011195 PA
Last 2 Years.0994875 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.348
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Runs0.488

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.106

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA
Season.121223 PA
Last 2 Years.122376 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ PIT0
Jun 13@ PIT1
Jun 14@ PIT0
Jun 15@ PHI0
Jun 16@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.161

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.27747 PA
Season.131176 PA
Last 2 Years.131176 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.109

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.113160 PA
Season.103809 PA
Last 2 Years.1043209 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.379
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Runs0.471

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.106

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.081149 PA
Last 2 Years.136506 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 9vs AZ1
Jun 13@ PIT0
Jun 14@ PIT0
Jun 15@ PHI0
Jun 16@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.144

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10020 PA
Season.202109 PA
Last 2 Years.202109 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.103

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.102226 PA
Season.1011195 PA
Last 2 Years.0994875 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.348
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Runs0.437

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

PHI PHI Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from PHI's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03360 BF
Season.107242 BF
Last 2 Years.128611 BF
wOBA allowed.335
Hard-Hit %31%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23821 BF
Season.142162 BF
Last 2 Years.145538 BF
wOBA allowed.287
Hard-Hit %28%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.128

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11435 PA
Season.148189 PA
Last 2 Years.139770 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ MIL0
Jun 13@ MIL2
Jun 14@ MIL0
Jun 15vs MIA1
Jun 16vs MIA2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.093

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03360 PA
Season.107242 PA
Last 2 Years.128611 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.097

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.078219 PA
Season.105760 PA
Last 2 Years.1192502 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.356
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances24

Projection

Projected Runs0.518

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.116

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05735 PA
Season.138189 PA
Last 2 Years.156898 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ MIL0
Jun 13@ MIL0
Jun 14@ MIL0
Jun 15vs MIA0
Jun 16vs MIA2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.093

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03360 PA
Season.107242 PA
Last 2 Years.128611 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.097

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.078219 PA
Season.105760 PA
Last 2 Years.1192502 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.346
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222
Plate Appearances45

Projection

Projected Runs0.478

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 5 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.175

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30030 PA
Season.190179 PA
Last 2 Years.140769 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ MIL0
Jun 13@ MIL1
Jun 14@ MIL0
Jun 15vs MIA0
Jun 16vs MIA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.093

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03360 PA
Season.107242 PA
Last 2 Years.128611 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.097

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.078219 PA
Season.105760 PA
Last 2 Years.1192502 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.371
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.259
Plate Appearances54

Projection

Projected Runs0.598

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.095

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08137 PA
Season.081186 PA
Last 2 Years.089796 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10@ TOR1
Jun 12@ MIL0
Jun 13@ MIL0
Jun 14@ MIL0
Jun 16vs MIA2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.145

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23821 PA
Season.142162 PA
Last 2 Years.145538 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.090

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.078153 PA
Season.084634 PA
Last 2 Years.1082517 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.324
Plate Appearances34

Projection

Projected Runs0.487

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.097

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07739 PA
Season.081198 PA
Last 2 Years.107902 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ MIL0
Jun 13@ MIL2
Jun 14@ MIL0
Jun 15vs MIA2
Jun 16vs MIA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.093

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03360 PA
Season.107242 PA
Last 2 Years.128611 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.097

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.078219 PA
Season.105760 PA
Last 2 Years.1192502 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.212
Plate Appearances33

Projection

Projected Runs0.406

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.111

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA
Season.099131 PA
Last 2 Years.110661 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10@ TOR0
Jun 12@ MIL0
Jun 13@ MIL1
Jun 15vs MIA1
Jun 16vs MIA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.145

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23821 PA
Season.142162 PA
Last 2 Years.145538 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.090

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.078153 PA
Season.084634 PA
Last 2 Years.1082517 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.300
Plate Appearances40

Projection

Projected Runs0.494

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 3 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ MIL0
Jun 15vs MIA1
Jun 16vs MIA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.093

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03360 PA
Season.107242 PA
Last 2 Years.128611 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.097

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.078219 PA
Season.105760 PA
Last 2 Years.1192502 PA

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.422

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.080

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.061179 PA
Last 2 Years.061179 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ MIL0
Jun 13@ MIL0
Jun 14@ MIL0
Jun 15vs MIA1
Jun 16vs MIA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.093

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03360 PA
Season.107242 PA
Last 2 Years.128611 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.097

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.078219 PA
Season.105760 PA
Last 2 Years.1192502 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.287
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.341

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.2005 PA
Season.10647 PA
Last 2 Years.115269 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 9@ TOR0
Jun 13@ MIL2
Jun 14@ MIL0
Jun 15vs MIA1
Jun 16vs MIA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.145

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23821 PA
Season.142162 PA
Last 2 Years.145538 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.090

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.078153 PA
Season.084634 PA
Last 2 Years.1082517 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances10

Projection

Projected Runs0.452

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.