MatchWiz
Runs · Wednesday, June 17, 2026

DET @ HOU Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 17, 2026

DET
DET
Detroit Tigers
vs
2:10 PM EDT
HOU
Houston Astros
HOU
Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft

DET DET Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from DET's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 BF
Season.030132 BF
Last 2 Years.052193 BF
wOBA allowed.234
Hard-Hit %30%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08834 BF
Season.170106 BF
Last 2 Years.174178 BF
wOBA allowed.356
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.156

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20943 PA
Season.160219 PA
Last 2 Years.160219 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11vs MIN1
Jun 12@ CLE0
Jun 13@ CLE0
Jun 15@ HOU2
Jun 16@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.074

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.030132 PA
Last 2 Years.052193 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.144

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.168209 PA
Season.139915 PA
Last 2 Years.1142993 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.348
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.274
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.593

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.148

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23139 PA
Season.148182 PA
Last 2 Years.101592 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11vs MIN1
Jun 12@ CLE0
Jun 13@ CLE0
Jun 15@ HOU3
Jun 16@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.130

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA
Season.170106 PA
Last 2 Years.174178 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.111

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.133211 PA
Season.087858 PA
Last 2 Years.0963422 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.387
Hard-Hit %44%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.350
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.619

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.112

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11136 PA
Season.099142 PA
Last 2 Years.122662 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11vs MIN1
Jun 12@ CLE0
Jun 13@ CLE0
Jun 15@ HOU0
Jun 16@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.074

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.030132 PA
Last 2 Years.052193 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.144

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.168209 PA
Season.139915 PA
Last 2 Years.1142993 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.353
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.274
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Runs0.465

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.125

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12839 PA
Season.125208 PA
Last 2 Years.137874 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11vs MIN1
Jun 12@ CLE0
Jun 13@ CLE0
Jun 15@ HOU0
Jun 16@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.074

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.030132 PA
Last 2 Years.052193 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.144

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.168209 PA
Season.139915 PA
Last 2 Years.1142993 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.353
Hard-Hit %43%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.274
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.48

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.113

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13537 PA
Season.088205 PA
Last 2 Years.120775 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11vs MIN1
Jun 12@ CLE1
Jun 13@ CLE0
Jun 15@ HOU1
Jun 16@ HOU1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.130

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA
Season.170106 PA
Last 2 Years.174178 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.111

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.133211 PA
Season.087858 PA
Last 2 Years.0963422 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %42%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.350
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Runs0.505

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.121

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15819 PA
Season.110118 PA
Last 2 Years.119582 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 9vs MIN0
Jun 10vs MIN1
Jun 11vs MIN1
Jun 13@ CLE0
Jun 16@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.074

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.030132 PA
Last 2 Years.052193 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.144

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.168209 PA
Season.139915 PA
Last 2 Years.1142993 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.274
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.458

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.108

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16131 PA
Season.051138 PA
Last 2 Years.111720 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 11vs MIN1
Jun 12@ CLE0
Jun 13@ CLE0
Jun 15@ HOU0
Jun 16@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.074

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.030132 PA
Last 2 Years.052193 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.144

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.168209 PA
Season.139915 PA
Last 2 Years.1142993 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.274
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Runs0.434

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.121

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.5004 PA
Season.07142 PA
Last 2 Years.07142 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

May 31@ CWS0
Jun 1@ TB2
Jun 13@ CLE0
Jun 15@ HOU0
Jun 16@ HOU1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.130

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA
Season.170106 PA
Last 2 Years.174178 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.111

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.133211 PA
Season.087858 PA
Last 2 Years.0963422 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.350
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.471

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 PA
Season.10259 PA
Last 2 Years.124194 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

May 31@ PIT0
Jun 4vs KC0
Jun 12@ CLE1
Jun 15@ HOU0
Jun 16@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.074

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.030132 PA
Last 2 Years.052193 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.144

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.168209 PA
Season.139915 PA
Last 2 Years.1142993 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.274
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Runs0.425

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

HOU HOU Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from HOU's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.046108 BF
Last 2 Years.087527 BF
wOBA allowed.189
Hard-Hit %18%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.09177 BF
Last 2 Years.122451 BF
wOBA allowed.347
Hard-Hit %35%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.153

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20444 PA
Season.171123 PA
Last 2 Years.134839 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ KC2
Jun 13@ KC0
Jun 14@ KC0
Jun 15vs DET0
Jun 16vs DET0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.09177 PA
Last 2 Years.122451 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.102

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.084155 PA
Season.120938 PA
Last 2 Years.0954342 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.334
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Runs0.602

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.153

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20943 PA
Season.159226 PA
Last 2 Years.135622 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ KC2
Jun 13@ KC1
Jun 14@ KC0
Jun 15vs DET0
Jun 16vs DET0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.075

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.046108 PA
Last 2 Years.087527 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.091

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.073164 PA
Season.096732 PA
Last 2 Years.1002471 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.426
Hard-Hit %44%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.251
Hard-Hit % Allowed25%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Runs0.531

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04842 PA
Season.134231 PA
Last 2 Years.122917 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ KC1
Jun 13@ KC1
Jun 14@ KC0
Jun 15vs DET1
Jun 16vs DET0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.09177 PA
Last 2 Years.122451 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.102

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.084155 PA
Season.120938 PA
Last 2 Years.0954342 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.334
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.473

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.4× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.109

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10339 PA
Season.107206 PA
Last 2 Years.105853 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10@ LAA0
Jun 12@ KC0
Jun 13@ KC1
Jun 15vs DET1
Jun 16vs DET0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.09177 PA
Last 2 Years.122451 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.102

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.084155 PA
Season.120938 PA
Last 2 Years.0954342 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.341
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.334
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.466

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.113

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.137153 PA
Last 2 Years.122975 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10@ LAA0
Jun 12@ KC0
Jun 13@ KC1
Jun 15vs DET1
Jun 16vs DET0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.09177 PA
Last 2 Years.122451 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.102

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.084155 PA
Season.120938 PA
Last 2 Years.0954342 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.334
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Runs0.462

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.079

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.04174 PA
Last 2 Years.097806 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Apr 30@ BAL1
Apr 30@ BAL0
May 1@ BOS0
May 2@ BOS0
Jun 16vs DET1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.09177 PA
Last 2 Years.122451 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.102

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.084155 PA
Season.120938 PA
Last 2 Years.0954342 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.292
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.334
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Runs0.377

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.097

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA
Season.099203 PA
Last 2 Years.100559 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ KC1
Jun 13@ KC0
Jun 14@ KC0
Jun 15vs DET0
Jun 16vs DET1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.09177 PA
Last 2 Years.122451 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.102

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.084155 PA
Season.120938 PA
Last 2 Years.0954342 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.295
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.334
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.403

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.120

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16712 PA
Season.109119 PA
Last 2 Years.123155 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ KC1
Jun 13@ KC1
Jun 14@ KC0
Jun 15vs DET0
Jun 16vs DET0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.09177 PA
Last 2 Years.122451 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.102

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.084155 PA
Season.120938 PA
Last 2 Years.0954342 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.334
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.44

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 2 GamesRuns

Jun 14@ KC0
Jun 16vs DET1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.075

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.046108 PA
Last 2 Years.087527 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.091

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.073164 PA
Season.096732 PA
Last 2 Years.1002471 PA

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.251
Hard-Hit % Allowed25%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.379

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.