TOR @ BOS Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 17, 2026

TOR

Toronto Blue Jays

6:45 PM EDT

BOS

Boston Red Sox

◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft

TOR Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from TOR's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.103

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA

Season.08261 PA

Last 2 Years.113293 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10vs PHI1

Jun 12vs NYY3

Jun 13vs NYY0

Jun 14vs NYY0

Jun 16@ BOS1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.094

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA

Season.084154 PA

Last 2 Years.108213 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.337

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.493

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.136

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.25016 PA

Season.12381 PA

Last 2 Years.131359 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10vs PHI1

Jun 12vs NYY1

Jun 13vs NYY0

Jun 14vs NYY1

Jun 16@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.094

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA

Season.084154 PA

Last 2 Years.108213 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.346

Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.559

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.143

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA

Season.23464 PA

Last 2 Years.168303 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 8vs PHI0

Jun 9vs PHI0

Jun 10vs PHI0

Jun 12vs NYY1

Jun 16@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.094

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA

Season.084154 PA

Last 2 Years.108213 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.346

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.563

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.124

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.3333 PA

Season.2508 PA

Last 2 Years.074216 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Apr 1vs COL0

Apr 3@ CWS0

Jun 12vs NYY1

Jun 14vs NYY0

Jun 16@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.094

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA

Season.084154 PA

Last 2 Years.108213 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.330

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.51

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.120

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.15413 PA

Season.11669 PA

Last 2 Years.11669 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10vs PHI0

Jun 12vs NYY1

Jun 13vs NYY1

Jun 14vs NYY0

Jun 16@ BOS1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.094

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA

Season.084154 PA

Last 2 Years.108213 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.326

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.485

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.096

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.05319 PA

Last 2 Years.10586 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10vs PHI1

Jun 12vs NYY0

Jun 13vs NYY0

Jun 14vs NYY1

Jun 16@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.116

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.11118 PA

Season.11561 PA

Last 2 Years.11876 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.292

Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.436

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.114

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA

Season.11552 PA

Last 2 Years.114255 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

May 23vs PIT0

May 24vs PIT0

Jun 12vs NYY0

Jun 14vs NYY1

Jun 16@ BOS1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.094

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA

Season.084154 PA

Last 2 Years.108213 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.294

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.44

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.095

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA

Season.04862 PA

Last 2 Years.059238 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 9vs PHI0

Jun 10vs PHI0

Jun 12vs NYY1

Jun 13vs NYY0

Jun 16@ BOS2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.116

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.11118 PA

Season.11561 PA

Last 2 Years.11876 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.283

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.413

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.107

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA

Season.09673 PA

Last 2 Years.109220 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 8vs PHI1

Jun 10vs PHI1

Jun 12vs NYY0

Jun 14vs NYY0

Jun 16@ BOS1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.094

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA

Season.084154 PA

Last 2 Years.108213 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.405

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

BOS Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from BOS's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.108

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.11526 PA

Season.090133 PA

Last 2 Years.102541 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 7@ NYY0

Jun 9@ TB0

Jun 10@ TB0

Jun 14vs TEX1

Jun 16vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.111

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA

Season.112161 PA

Last 2 Years.113734 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667

Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Runs0.518

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~2.7× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.111

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.12133 PA

Season.094192 PA

Last 2 Years.115847 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10@ TB1

Jun 12vs TEX3

Jun 13vs TEX0

Jun 14vs TEX0

Jun 16vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.093

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.059119 PA

Last 2 Years.113697 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667

Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Runs0.497

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.113

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.13936 PA

Season.083205 PA

Last 2 Years.123773 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10@ TB0

Jun 12vs TEX3

Jun 13vs TEX0

Jun 14vs TEX0

Jun 16vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.111

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA

Season.112161 PA

Last 2 Years.113734 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323

Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Runs0.504

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.130

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.18937 PA

Season.107206 PA

Last 2 Years.120793 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10@ TB0

Jun 12vs TEX2

Jun 13vs TEX1

Jun 14vs TEX2

Jun 16vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.093

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.059119 PA

Last 2 Years.113697 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.405

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.143

Plate Appearances14

Projection

Projected Runs0.509

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.119

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.11435 PA

Season.113212 PA

Last 2 Years.141982 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10@ TB1

Jun 12vs TEX0

Jun 13vs TEX1

Jun 14vs TEX0

Jun 16vs TOR1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.111

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA

Season.112161 PA

Last 2 Years.113734 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Runs0.494

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.13936 PA

Season.102167 PA

Last 2 Years.111540 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10@ TB2

Jun 12vs TEX0

Jun 13vs TEX0

Jun 14vs TEX1

Jun 16vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.093

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.059119 PA

Last 2 Years.113697 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.285

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Runs0.454

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.132

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.15133 PA

Season.16380 PA

Last 2 Years.107623 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10@ TB1

Jun 12vs TEX0

Jun 13vs TEX2

Jun 14vs TEX0

Jun 16vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.093

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.059119 PA

Last 2 Years.113697 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311

Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400

Plate Appearances10

Projection

Projected Runs0.475

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.097

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA

Season.081185 PA

Last 2 Years.109294 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 9@ TB0

Jun 12vs TEX0

Jun 13vs TEX1

Jun 14vs TEX0

Jun 16vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.111

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA

Season.112161 PA

Last 2 Years.113734 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.272

Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.412

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.119

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.2508 PA

Season.09762 PA

Last 2 Years.092412 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

May 31@ CLE2

Jun 4vs BAL0

Jun 5@ NYY1

Jun 12vs TEX1

Jun 16vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.093

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.059119 PA

Last 2 Years.113697 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.427

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.