‹ Strikeouts · Thursday, June 11, 2026
LAD @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, June 11, 2026
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
8–6
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 72°F OvercastWind 11 mph, Out To LF
Justin Wrobleski · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.4% K/BF
vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB19.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.7 BF
Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.1 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-144+108
FANFanatics-150+115
DKDraftKings-153+120
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BRBetRivers-139+105
BOVBovada-145+110
We project 5.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Nick Gonzales (R)22.1%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)26.9%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (R)21.1%3.0 PA
4Marcell Ozuna (R)24.5%3.0 PA
5Spencer Horwitz (L)20.8%3.0 PA
6Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.0%3.0 PA
7Jake Mangum (R)19.6%2.7 PA
8Rafael Flores Jr. (R)27.1%2.0 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)19.9%2.0 PA
Mitch Keller · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.5% K/BF
vs LHB20.2%
vs RHB19.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.5 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+122-150
DKDraftKings+124-159
BRBetRivers+114-152
BOVBovada+120-160
We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
LAD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Shohei Ohtani (L)23.4%3.0 PA
2Andy Pages (R)19.8%3.0 PA
3Freddie Freeman (L)16.9%3.0 PA
4Mookie Betts (R)16.3%3.0 PA
5Max Muncy (L)22.5%3.0 PA
6Kyle Tucker (L)20.9%2.4 PA
7Ryan Ward (L)24.3%2.0 PA
8Dalton Rushing (L)24.2%2.0 PA
9Alex Freeland (L)22.5%2.0 PA