‹ Strikeouts · Thursday, June 11, 2026
STL @ NYM Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, June 11, 2026
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
4–5
Final
NYM
New York Mets
◆ Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft☀ 91°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, Out To RF
Hunter Dobbins · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.6% K/BF
vs LHB21.8%
vs RHB24.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.9%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.8 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-106-125
FANFanatics-105-125
DKDraftKings-107-119
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BRBetRivers-121-110
BOVBovada-105-125
We project 4.8 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)21.9%3.0 PA
2Bo Bichette (R)20.1%3.0 PA
3Juan Soto (L)15.8%3.0 PA
4Jared Young (L)22.4%2.5 PA
5A.J. Ewing (L)26.5%2.0 PA
6Marcus Semien (R)20.5%2.0 PA
7Brett Baty (L)25.8%2.0 PA
8Francisco Alvarez (R)22.5%2.0 PA
9MJ Melendez (L)22.0%2.0 PA
Christian Scott · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.3% K/BF
vs LHB25.0%
vs RHB22.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.2 BF
Expected batters faced21.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.1 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+120-148
DKDraftKings+112-144
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BRBetRivers+120-162
BOVBovada+115-150
We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)18.3%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)18.4%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)18.6%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)27.1%2.3 PA
5Lars Nootbaar (L)20.4%2.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)20.6%2.0 PA
7Jimmy Crooks (L)26.0%2.0 PA
8Nolan Gorman (L)32.4%2.0 PA
9Nathan Church (L)22.2%2.0 PA