‹ Strikeouts · Thursday, June 11, 2026
AZ @ MIA Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, June 11, 2026
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
0–2
Final
MIA
Miami Marlins
◆ loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Merrill Kelly · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate16.9% K/BF
vs LHB16.4%
vs RHB19.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.6 BF
Expected batters faced24.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.1 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+118-158
FANFanatics+120-160
DKDraftKings+117-150
BRBetRivers+108-143
BOVBovada+120-160
We project 4.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Liam Hicks (L)12.9%3.0 PA
2Otto Lopez (R)18.2%3.0 PA
3Kyle Stowers (L)28.6%3.0 PA
4Xavier Edwards (L)14.8%3.0 PA
5Javier Sanoja (R)15.3%3.0 PA
6Owen Caissie (L)32.1%3.0 PA
7Jakob Marsee (L)19.8%2.6 PA
8Joe Mack (L)22.0%2.0 PA
9Esteury Ruiz (R)25.4%2.0 PA
Tyler Phillips · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.3% K/BF
vs LHB21.7%
vs RHB16.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.8%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload18.3 BF
Expected batters faced18.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection3.3 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-120-102
DKDraftKings-151+118
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BRBetRivers-118-113
BOVBovada-125-105
We project 3.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)17.5%2.3 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)21.7%2.0 PA
3Gabriel Moreno (R)18.8%2.0 PA
4Nolan Arenado (R)22.0%2.0 PA
5Geraldo Perdomo (L)15.4%2.0 PA
6LuJames Groover (R)22.0%2.0 PA
7Tommy Troy (R)22.1%2.0 PA
8Aramis Garcia (R)24.6%2.0 PA
9Jorge Barrosa (L)27.6%2.0 PA