MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Friday, June 19, 2026

STL @ KC Strikeouts matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026

STL
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
56
Final
KC
Kansas City Royals
KC
Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft 80°F CloudyWind 0 mph, Calm

STL Michael McGreevy · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.4% K / BF

vs LHB16.2%
vs RHB20.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 20vs PIT1
May 26@ MIL6
Jun 1vs TEX1
Jun 7vs CIN5
Jun 14@ MIN2

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOLBetOnline+104-135
BRBetRivers+110-148
BOVBovada+105-135
DKDraftKings+109-139
FANFanatics+105-140
FDFanDuel+104-138

We project 4.1 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carter Jensen (L)25.1%3.0 PA
2Lane Thomas (R)22.8%3.0 PA
3Jac Caglianone (L)26.3%3.0 PA
4Salvador Perez (R)19.7%3.0 PA
5Michael Massey (L)16.2%2.9 PA
6Nick Loftin (R)17.0%2.0 PA
7John Rave (L)23.3%2.0 PA
8Isaac Collins (L)21.9%2.0 PA
9Tyler Tolbert (R)22.0%2.0 PA

KC Seth Lugo · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.3% K / BF

vs LHB20.2%
vs RHB20.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 18vs BOS5
May 24vs SEA3
May 30@ TEX6
Jun 4@ MIN4
Jun 10vs TEX2

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+135-185
BOLBetOnline+128-167
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+125-160
FDFanDuel+132-162

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)18.5%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)17.2%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)18.4%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)25.4%3.0 PA
5Lars Nootbaar (L)22.4%3.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)20.0%2.1 PA
7Jimmy Crooks (L)23.8%2.0 PA
8Blaze Jordan (R)22.0%2.0 PA
9Nathan Church (L)24.8%2.0 PA