MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Friday, June 19, 2026

PIT @ COL Strikeouts matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026

PIT
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
34
Final
COL
Colorado Rockies
COL
Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft 81°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, In From LF

PIT Bubba Chandler · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.9% K / BF

vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB24.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 16vs PHI2
May 22@ TOR11
May 27vs CHC5
Jun 2@ HOU3
Jun 13vs MIA6

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
BOLBetOnline-130+100
BRBetRivers-141+106
BOVBovada-145+110
DKDraftKings-125-102
FANFanatics-130+100
FDFanDuel-144+108

We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake McCarthy (L)19.5%3.0 PA
2Willi Castro (L)22.0%3.0 PA
3Hunter Goodman (R)26.9%3.0 PA
4TJ Rumfield (L)16.6%3.0 PA
5Tyler Freeman (R)14.9%2.2 PA
6Cole Carrigg (L)22.0%2.0 PA
7Sterlin Thompson (L)22.0%2.0 PA
8Ezequiel Tovar (R)25.4%2.0 PA
9Kyle Karros (R)20.3%2.0 PA

COL Kyle Freeland · LHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.8% K / BF

vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB17.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 20vs TEX4
May 26@ LAD4
Jun 1@ LAA4
Jun 7vs MIL2
Jun 13@ ATH4

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOLBetOnline-152+117
BRBetRivers-152+114
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-149+116
FDFanDuel-150+122

We project 4.6 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)21.6%3.0 PA
2Nick Gonzales (R)21.1%3.0 PA
3Ryan O'Hearn (L)25.0%3.0 PA
4Marcell Ozuna (R)24.9%3.0 PA
5Brandon Lowe (L)26.6%3.0 PA
6Endy Rodríguez (R)22.0%2.5 PA
7Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.0%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)19.3%2.0 PA
9Billy Cook (R)22.0%2.0 PA