TOR @ CHC Strikeouts matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026

TOR

Toronto Blue Jays

2–16

Final

CHC

Chicago Cubs

◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 71°F SunnyWind 6 mph, L To R

Kevin Gausman · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.1% K / BF

vs LHB23.3%

vs RHB24.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 22vs PIT8

May 27vs MIA5

Jun 2@ ATL8

Jun 7vs BAL5

Jun 13vs NYY7

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-118-110

BOLBetOnline-123-105

BRBetRivers-118-113

BOVBovada-120-110

DKDraftKings-137+107

FANFanatics-115-115

FDFanDuel-122-108

We project 5.5 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)23.2%3.0 PA

2Alex Bregman (R)17.2%3.0 PA

3Michael Busch (L)24.0%3.0 PA

4Seiya Suzuki (R)26.5%3.0 PA

5Ian Happ (L)27.6%3.0 PA

6Matt Shaw (R)18.9%2.3 PA

7Nico Hoerner (R)11.7%2.0 PA

8Carson Kelly (R)18.5%2.0 PA

9Dansby Swanson (R)23.2%2.0 PA

Ben Brown · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.3% K / BF

vs LHB23.8%

vs RHB22.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.7 BF

Expected batters faced20.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 19vs MIL6

May 25@ PIT7

May 30@ STL6

Jun 6vs SF5

Jun 13@ SF3

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-130-105

BOLBetOnline-111-116

BRBetRivers-114-117

BOVBovada-120-110

DKDraftKings-127+100

FDFanDuel-115-105

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1George Springer (R)17.8%3.0 PA

2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)14.3%3.0 PA

3Jesús Sánchez (L)21.9%2.7 PA

4Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.0%2.0 PA

5Alejandro Kirk (R)16.3%2.0 PA

6Nathan Lukes (L)17.4%2.0 PA

7Kazuma Okamoto (R)31.6%2.0 PA

8Davis Schneider (R)26.3%2.0 PA

9Andrés Giménez (L)23.5%2.0 PA