MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Friday, June 19, 2026

MIN @ AZ Strikeouts matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026

MIN
MIN
Minnesota Twins
59
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft 77°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

MIN Connor Prielipp · LHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.5% K / BF

vs LHB21.7%
vs RHB23.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 22@ BOS1
May 27@ CWS5
Jun 2vs CWS7
Jun 7vs KC7
Jun 13vs STL2

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOLBetOnline-143+110
BRBetRivers-165+123
BOVBovada-145+110
DKDraftKings-146+114
FDFanDuel-148+112

We project 4.5 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

AZ lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (R)17.8%3.0 PA
2Geraldo Perdomo (R)15.5%3.0 PA
3Corbin Carroll (L)20.7%3.0 PA
4Gabriel Moreno (R)19.7%3.0 PA
5Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)22.0%2.8 PA
6Nolan Arenado (R)17.6%2.0 PA
7Ildemaro Vargas (R)13.9%2.0 PA
8Jordan Lawlar (R)21.2%2.0 PA
9LuJames Groover (R)22.0%2.0 PA

AZ Michael Soroka · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.4% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB26.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 22vs COL2
May 27@ SF3
Jun 2vs LAD6
Jun 7vs WSH6
Jun 13@ CIN7

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOLBetOnline+120-156
BRBetRivers+114-152
BOVBovada+115-150
DKDraftKings+119-152
FANFanatics+120-160
FDFanDuel+118-144

We project 5.4 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trevor Larnach (L)19.8%3.0 PA
2Byron Buxton (R)24.7%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)21.6%3.0 PA
4Josh Bell (L)21.4%3.0 PA
5Royce Lewis (R)26.4%3.0 PA
6Brooks Lee (L)15.0%2.6 PA
7Victor Caratini (L)17.6%2.0 PA
8Tristan Gray (L)25.5%2.0 PA
9Luke Keaschall (R)18.3%2.0 PA