Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Sunday, June 14, 2026
Top total bases spot: JJ Bleday
JJ Bleday (CIN) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Zac Gallen. The lefty is racking up bases at .540 TB/PA against righties this year — and .590 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a total base in about 46% of his trips. And Zac Gallen has been getting squared up by righties lately — .565 total bases per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 3 career PA against Zac Gallen, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (100) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a strong bat at .437 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.611), hot bat.
- Dillon Dingler (DET) (93) vs RHP Gavin Williams: an excellent bat at .512 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.750).
- Kyle Schwarber (PHI) (91) vs LHP Kyle Harrison: a strong bat at .441 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.800).
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) (91) vs LHP Patrick Corbin: an excellent bat at .492 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.535), hot bat.
- Yandy Díaz (TB) (89) vs RHP Grayson Rodriguez: a strong bat at .455 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.484).
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (89) vs RHP Logan Webb: a strong bat at .477 into an arm tough on the same side (.163).
- Alec Burleson (STL) (87) vs RHP Taj Bradley: an excellent bat at .512 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.488), hot bat.
Arms giving up extra bases today
- LHP Jeffrey Springs has been getting squared up by lefties — .457 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Kyle Karros (COL), Willi Castro (COL), and Hunter Goodman (COL).
- RHP Tomoyuki Sugano has been getting squared up by righties — .453 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Kurtz (ATH), Tyler Soderstrom (ATH), and Shea Langeliers (ATH).
- RHP Casey Legumina has been getting squared up by righties — .431 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Zach Neto (LAA), Mike Trout (LAA), and Oswald Peraza (LAA).
- RHP Zac Gallen has been getting squared up by righties — .430 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: JJ Bleday (CIN), Edwin Arroyo (CIN), and Nathaniel Lowe (CIN).
Platoon edges to target
- JJ Bleday (CIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .540 against righties this year.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .418 against righties this year.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .643 against lefties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .402 against righties this year.
- Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .512 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these total bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.