MLB DFS Projections — Best Daily Fantasy Baseball Plays — Friday, June 19, 2026
Top fantasy points spot: Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman (LAD) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Trey Gibson. The lefty is piling up fantasy points at 2.036 fantasy/PA against righties this year — and 2.405 over the last two weeks, a strong bat worth about 1.95 fantasy points a trip. And Trey Gibson has been getting lit up by righties lately — 2.438 fantasy points per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Trey Gibson. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (100) vs RHP José Soriano: an elite bat at 2.309 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (1.943), hot bat.
- Kyle Tucker (LAD) (97) vs RHP Trey Gibson: a solid bat at 1.761 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (2.438), hot bat.
- Andy Pages (LAD) (94) vs RHP Trey Gibson: a solid bat at 1.794 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (1.880).
- Pete Alonso (BAL) (90) vs RHP Roki Sasaki: a strong bat at 1.948 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (1.546).
- Zach Neto (LAA) (88) vs LHP Jeffrey Springs: a solid bat at 1.800 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (3.207).
- Alec Burleson (STL) (85) vs RHP Seth Lugo: an excellent bat at 2.283 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (2.850).
- Max Muncy (LAD) (80) vs RHP Trey Gibson: a strong bat at 1.876 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (2.438), due to bounce back.
Arms giving up fantasy points today
- LHP Kyle Freeland has been getting lit up by lefties — 2.102 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Gonzales (PIT), Spencer Horwitz (PIT), and Ryan O'Hearn (PIT).
- LHP Jeffrey Springs has been getting lit up by lefties — 2.001 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Zach Neto (LAA), Jo Adell (LAA), and Nolan Schanuel (LAA).
- RHP Tatsuya Imai has been vulnerable to righties — 1.889 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Travis Bazzana (CLE), Kyle Manzardo (CLE), and Brayan Rocchio (CLE).
- LHP Brandon Eisert has been vulnerable to lefties — 1.866 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Kevin McGonigle (DET), Dillon Dingler (DET), and Riley Greene (DET).
Platoon edges to target
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, 2.036 against righties this year.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, 2.370 against righties this year.
- Kyle Tucker (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, 1.674 against righties this year.
- Zach Neto (LAA) — righty bat vs LHP, 1.839 against lefties this year.
- Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, 2.234 against righties this year.
Best parks for fantasy points today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% fantasy park). Top bat there: Nick Gonzales (PIT) at 79.
How it played out
10 of the top 10 fantasy points matchups landed at least one fantasy point. Top play Freddie Freeman finished with 2 fantasy points. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these fantasy points matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's fantasy points per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.