Best MLB Hits Matchups — Tuesday, March 31, 2026
Top hits spot: Giancarlo Stanton
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Logan Gilbert. The righty is hitting .667 H/PA against righties this year — and .667 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a hit in about 31% of his trips. And Logan Gilbert has been getting tattooed by righties lately — .500 hits per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.3 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Logan Gilbert too — .333 across 15 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Yandy Díaz (TB) (96) vs RHP Brandon Woodruff: an elite bat at .307 into an arm with little track record against the same side (—).
- Brandon Nimmo (TEX) (90) vs RHP Zach Eflin: a strong bat at .252 into an arm with little track record against the same side (—).
- Hunter Goodman (COL) (89) vs RHP Max Scherzer: an excellent bat at .271 into an arm with little track record against the same side (—).
- Luis García Jr. (WSH) (89) vs RHP Andrew Painter: a solid bat at .248 into an arm with little track record against the same side (—).
- Willy Adames (SF) (88) vs RHP Germán Márquez: a solid bat at .232 into an arm with little track record against the same side (—).
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) (87) vs RHP Logan Webb: a strong bat at .258 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.333).
- Kevin McGonigle (DET) (87) vs RHP Brandon Pfaadt: a solid bat at .242 into an arm with little track record against the same side (—), due to bounce back.
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- RHP Germán Márquez has been getting tattooed by righties — .290 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Willy Adames (SF), Heliot Ramos (SF), and Christian Koss (SF).
- RHP Janson Junk has been vulnerable to righties — .286 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Munetaka Murakami (CWS), Chase Meidroth (CWS), and Andrew Benintendi (CWS).
- LHP Brandon Williamson has been vulnerable to lefties — .262 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Ryan O'Hearn (PIT), Jake Mangum (PIT), and Brandon Lowe (PIT).
- RHP Brandon Pfaadt has been giving up plenty to righties — .255 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Kevin McGonigle (DET), Matt Vierling (DET), and Riley Greene (DET).
Platoon edges to target
- Brandon Nimmo (TEX) — lefty bat vs RHP, .333 against righties this year.
- Luis García Jr. (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .250 against righties this year.
- Kevin McGonigle (DET) — lefty bat vs RHP, .231 against righties this year.
- Juan Soto (NYM) — lefty bat vs RHP, .375 against righties this year.
- Jacob Wilson (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .500 against lefties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Nolan Schanuel (LAA). Cold but due to bounce back: Kevin McGonigle (DET), Matt Vierling (DET), Corey Seager (TEX), Manny Machado (SD), and Rhys Hoskins (CLE).
How it played out
8 of the top 10 hits matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Giancarlo Stanton finished with 2 hits. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.