Best MLB Hits Matchups — Friday, June 5, 2026
Top hits spot: Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio (MIL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Ryan Feltner. The righty is hitting .286 H/PA against righties this year — and .300 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a hit in about 27% of his trips. And Ryan Feltner has been mostly holding up against righties lately — .222 hits per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .091 in 11 career PA against Ryan Feltner, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a hitter's park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Ernie Clement (TOR) (88) vs RHP Brandon Young: an elite bat at .308 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.333), hot bat.
- Jung Hoo Lee (SF) (88) vs RHP Edward Cabrera: an elite bat at .344 into an arm with little track record against the same side (—), hot bat.
- Christian Yelich (MIL) (88) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: a strong bat at .252 into an arm tough on the same side (.182), hitter's park.
- Chase Meidroth (CWS) (85) vs LHP Jesús Luzardo: an excellent bat at .273 into an arm giving up plenty to the same side (.243), hot bat.
- Wilyer Abreu (BOS) (85) vs LHP Ryan Weathers: an excellent bat at .294 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.375).
- Nathan Lukes (TOR) (82) vs RHP Brandon Young: an excellent bat at .298 into an arm tough on the same side (.129), hot bat.
- Tyler Freeman (COL) (80) vs RHP Brandon Sproat: a solid bat at .243 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.304), hitter's park, hot bat.
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- RHP Kyle Leahy has been vulnerable to righties — .286 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: JJ Bleday (CIN), Nathaniel Lowe (CIN), and Blake Dunn (CIN).
- RHP Ryan Gusto has been vulnerable to righties — .270 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Jonathan Aranda (TB), Junior Caminero (TB), and Victor Mesa Jr. (TB).
- LHP Ryan Weathers has been vulnerable to lefties — .267 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Wilyer Abreu (BOS), Jarren Duran (BOS), and Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS).
- RHP Brandon Young has been vulnerable to righties — .266 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Ernie Clement (TOR), Nathan Lukes (TOR), and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR).
Platoon edges to target
- Jung Hoo Lee (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .321 against righties this year.
- Christian Yelich (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .264 against righties this year.
- Chase Meidroth (CWS) — righty bat vs LHP, .318 against lefties this year.
- Nathan Lukes (TOR) — lefty bat vs RHP, .310 against righties this year.
- Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .277 against righties this year.
Best parks to hit in today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% hits park). Top bat there: Jackson Chourio (MIL) at 100.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Jackson Chourio (MIL), Ernie Clement (TOR), Jung Hoo Lee (SF), Chase Meidroth (CWS), Nathan Lukes (TOR), and Tyler Freeman (COL). Cold but due to bounce back: Travis Bazzana (CLE), Ildemaro Vargas (AZ), Jake Bauers (MIL), Zach Neto (LAA), and Michael Conforto (CHC).
How it played out
6 of the top 10 hits matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Jackson Chourio finished with 0 hits. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.