Best MLB H+R+RBI Matchups — Friday, June 19, 2026
Top h+r+rbi spot: Andy Pages
Andy Pages (LAD) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Trey Gibson. The righty is stacking production at .592 (H+R+RBI)/PA against righties this year — and .526 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a H+R+RBI in about 52% of his trips. And Trey Gibson has been getting lit up by righties lately — .560 H+R+RBI per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Trey Gibson. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (100) vs RHP José Soriano: an excellent bat at .579 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.571), hot bat.
- Kyle Tucker (LAD) (99) vs RHP Trey Gibson: a strong bat at .511 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.750), hot bat.
- Ketel Marte (AZ) (94) vs LHP Connor Prielipp: a strong bat at .506 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.571), hot bat.
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) (93) vs RHP Trey Gibson: a strong bat at .533 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.750).
- Zach Neto (LAA) (92) vs LHP Jeffrey Springs: a solid bat at .459 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.897).
- Jo Adell (LAA) (91) vs LHP Jeffrey Springs: a strong bat at .495 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.897), due to bounce back.
- Nick Gonzales (PIT) (90) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a solid bat at .470 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.780), hitter's park.
Arms giving up production today
- LHP Kyle Freeland has been getting lit up by lefties — .614 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Gonzales (PIT), Ryan O'Hearn (PIT), and Spencer Horwitz (PIT).
- RHP Tatsuya Imai has been getting lit up by righties — .555 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Travis Bazzana (CLE), Kyle Manzardo (CLE), and Brayan Rocchio (CLE).
- LHP Jeffrey Springs has been getting lit up by lefties — .551 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Zach Neto (LAA), Jo Adell (LAA), and Nolan Schanuel (LAA).
- LHP Brandon Eisert has been vulnerable to lefties — .511 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Kevin McGonigle (DET), Dillon Dingler (DET), and Matt Vierling (DET).
Platoon edges to target
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .578 against righties this year.
- Kyle Tucker (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .489 against righties this year.
- Ketel Marte (AZ) — righty bat vs LHP, .626 against lefties this year.
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .547 against righties this year.
- Zach Neto (LAA) — righty bat vs LHP, .437 against lefties this year.
Best parks for all-around production today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% run-scoring park). Top bat there: Nick Gonzales (PIT) at 90.
How it played out
9 of the top 10 h+r+rbi matchups landed at least one H+R+RBI. Top play Andy Pages finished with 2 H+R+RBI. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these h+r+rbi matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's combined hits + runs + RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.