MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Friday, June 19, 2026

CIN @ NYY Home Runs matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
05
Final
NYY
New York Yankees
NYY
Yankee StadiumElevation 55 ftCenter Field 408 ft 77°F Partly CloudyWind 15 mph, Out To RF

CIN CIN Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 BF
Season.009211 BF
Last 2 Years.015390 BF
wOBA allowed.257
Hard-Hit %37%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 BF
Season.022135 BF
Last 2 Years.027260 BF
wOBA allowed.207
Hard-Hit %26%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.02289 PA
Last 2 Years.022138 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 9@ SD0
Jun 12vs AZ0
Jun 14vs AZ0
Jun 15vs NYM0
Jun 16vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.022135 PA
Last 2 Years.027260 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028213 PA
Season.0271081 PA
Last 2 Years.0324307 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.294
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.13

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04941 PA
Season.070143 PA
Last 2 Years.041688 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs AZ0
Jun 14vs AZ1
Jun 15vs NYM1
Jun 16vs NYM0
Jun 17vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.009211 PA
Last 2 Years.015390 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.038184 PA
Season.028810 PA
Last 2 Years.0283010 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.296
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.201

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+335
CZRCaesars+305

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02540 PA
Season.037242 PA
Last 2 Years.044293 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs AZ0
Jun 14vs AZ0
Jun 15vs NYM0
Jun 16vs NYM1
Jun 17vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.022135 PA
Last 2 Years.027260 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028213 PA
Season.0271081 PA
Last 2 Years.0324307 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.294
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.177

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.056162 PA
Last 2 Years.041884 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10@ SD0
Jun 13vs AZ0
Jun 14vs AZ0
Jun 16vs NYM0
Jun 17vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.009211 PA
Last 2 Years.015390 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.038184 PA
Season.028810 PA
Last 2 Years.0283010 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.296
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.18

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+500
CZRCaesars+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA
Season.029210 PA
Last 2 Years.036928 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 12vs AZ0
Jun 13vs AZ0
Jun 15vs NYM0
Jun 16vs NYM1
Jun 17vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.022135 PA
Last 2 Years.027260 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028213 PA
Season.0271081 PA
Last 2 Years.0324307 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.294
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.135

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08336 PA
Season.035143 PA
Last 2 Years.065863 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs AZ0
Jun 14vs AZ0
Jun 15vs NYM2
Jun 16vs NYM0
Jun 17vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.022135 PA
Last 2 Years.027260 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028213 PA
Season.0271081 PA
Last 2 Years.0324307 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.294
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.197

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+480
CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.031160 PA
Last 2 Years.036661 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 9@ SD0
Jun 12vs AZ0
Jun 13vs AZ0
Jun 15vs NYM0
Jun 16vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.022135 PA
Last 2 Years.027260 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028213 PA
Season.0271081 PA
Last 2 Years.0324307 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.294
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.145

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+525
BRBetRivers+510

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05139 PA
Season.023214 PA
Last 2 Years.026660 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs AZ0
Jun 14vs AZ0
Jun 15vs NYM0
Jun 16vs NYM0
Jun 17vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.022135 PA
Last 2 Years.027260 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028213 PA
Season.0271081 PA
Last 2 Years.0324307 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.294
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.112

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+700
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs AZ0
Jun 14vs AZ0
Jun 15vs NYM0
Jun 16vs NYM0
Jun 17vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.009211 PA
Last 2 Years.015390 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.038184 PA
Season.028810 PA
Last 2 Years.0283010 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.296
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.127

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+800
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06531 PA
Season.03951 PA
Last 2 Years.036504 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 12vs AZ1
Jun 13vs AZ1
Jun 14vs AZ1
Jun 15vs NYM0
Jun 17vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.022135 PA
Last 2 Years.027260 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028213 PA
Season.0271081 PA
Last 2 Years.0324307 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.294
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.129

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.00031 PA
Last 2 Years.010293 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

May 9vs HOU0
May 14vs WSH0
May 16@ CLE0
Jun 14vs AZ0
Jun 17vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.022135 PA
Last 2 Years.027260 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028213 PA
Season.0271081 PA
Last 2 Years.0324307 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.294
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.097

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

NYY NYY Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 BF
Season.025122 BF
Last 2 Years.017182 BF
wOBA allowed.339
Hard-Hit %37%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 BF
Season.00085 BF
Last 2 Years.000153 BF
wOBA allowed.271
Hard-Hit %29%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08137 PA
Season.073204 PA
Last 2 Years.053748 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ TOR0
Jun 14@ TOR1
Jun 16vs CWS1
Jun 17vs CWS0
Jun 18vs CWS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.025122 PA
Last 2 Years.017182 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022184 PA
Season.037972 PA
Last 2 Years.0323142 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.354
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.309

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+225
BRBetRivers+220

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA
Season.05934 PA
Last 2 Years.032403 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

May 6vs TEX0
Jun 13@ TOR1
Jun 14@ TOR0
Jun 17vs CWS0
Jun 18vs CWS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.025122 PA
Last 2 Years.017182 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022184 PA
Season.037972 PA
Last 2 Years.0323142 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.173

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+400
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05735 PA
Season.033212 PA
Last 2 Years.038912 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ TOR0
Jun 14@ TOR0
Jun 16vs CWS0
Jun 17vs CWS1
Jun 18vs CWS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.025122 PA
Last 2 Years.017182 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022184 PA
Season.037972 PA
Last 2 Years.0323142 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.159

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+325
CZRCaesars+320

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 10-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10837 PA
Season.054111 PA
Last 2 Years.025745 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ TOR1
Jun 14@ TOR0
Jun 16vs CWS1
Jun 17vs CWS1
Jun 18vs CWS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.00085 PA
Last 2 Years.000153 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025244 PA
Season.0381074 PA
Last 2 Years.0344288 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.157

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+420
CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.036195 PA
Last 2 Years.053797 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 12@ TOR0
Jun 13@ TOR0
Jun 16vs CWS0
Jun 17vs CWS1
Jun 18vs CWS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.025122 PA
Last 2 Years.017182 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022184 PA
Season.037972 PA
Last 2 Years.0323142 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.186

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+305
BRBetRivers+260

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 12@ TOR0
Jun 13@ TOR0
Jun 14@ TOR0
Jun 16vs CWS1
Jun 18vs CWS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.025122 PA
Last 2 Years.017182 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022184 PA
Season.037972 PA
Last 2 Years.0323142 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.139

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+440
CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.00061 PA
Last 2 Years.026727 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10@ CLE0
Jun 14@ TOR0
Jun 16vs CWS0
Jun 17vs CWS0
Jun 18vs CWS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.00085 PA
Last 2 Years.000153 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025244 PA
Season.0381074 PA
Last 2 Years.0344288 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07726 PA
Season.052153 PA
Last 2 Years.038849 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 12@ TOR0
Jun 13@ TOR0
Jun 16vs CWS0
Jun 17vs CWS0
Jun 18vs CWS1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.025122 PA
Last 2 Years.017182 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022184 PA
Season.037972 PA
Last 2 Years.0323142 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.159

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+400
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.00067 PA
Last 2 Years.013150 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 9@ CLE0
Jun 12@ TOR0
Jun 13@ TOR0
Jun 16vs CWS0
Jun 18vs CWS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.025122 PA
Last 2 Years.017182 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022184 PA
Season.037972 PA
Last 2 Years.0323142 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.104

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+700
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07726 PA
Season.026152 PA
Last 2 Years.015582 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ TOR0
Jun 14@ TOR1
Jun 16vs CWS1
Jun 17vs CWS0
Jun 18vs CWS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.00085 PA
Last 2 Years.000153 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025244 PA
Season.0381074 PA
Last 2 Years.0344288 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.101

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.