MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Friday, June 19, 2026

BAL @ LAD Home Runs matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026

BAL
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
56
Final
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
LAD
UNIQLO Field at Dodger StadiumElevation 515 ftCenter Field 395 ft 69°F ClearWind 5 mph, Out To CF

BAL BAL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 BF
Season.040152 BF
Last 2 Years.042237 BF
wOBA allowed.337
Hard-Hit %32%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 BF
Season.042118 BF
Last 2 Years.036194 BF
wOBA allowed.335
Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01759 PA
Season.008260 PA
Last 2 Years.0381107 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD0
Jun 16@ SEA0
Jun 17@ SEA0
Jun 18@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.042118 PA
Last 2 Years.036194 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036224 PA
Season.0301166 PA
Last 2 Years.0293361 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.163

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+510
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03656 PA
Season.036249 PA
Last 2 Years.035972 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD0
Jun 16@ SEA0
Jun 17@ SEA1
Jun 18@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.040152 PA
Last 2 Years.042237 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056143 PA
Season.035802 PA
Last 2 Years.0292117 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.205

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+460
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07355 PA
Season.054239 PA
Last 2 Years.0541031 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs SD1
Jun 14vs SD0
Jun 16@ SEA0
Jun 17@ SEA0
Jun 18@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.042118 PA
Last 2 Years.036194 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036224 PA
Season.0301166 PA
Last 2 Years.0293361 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.347
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.257

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+310
CZRCaesars+305

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.051176 PA
Last 2 Years.045269 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD0
Jun 16@ SEA0
Jun 17@ SEA0
Jun 18@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.040152 PA
Last 2 Years.042237 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056143 PA
Season.035802 PA
Last 2 Years.0292117 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.178

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+460
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00046 PA
Season.012165 PA
Last 2 Years.023567 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD0
Jun 16@ SEA0
Jun 17@ SEA0
Jun 18@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.040152 PA
Last 2 Years.042237 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056143 PA
Season.035802 PA
Last 2 Years.0292117 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.111

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07043 PA
Season.043162 PA
Last 2 Years.045671 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 12vs SD0
Jun 13vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD0
Jun 16@ SEA0
Jun 18@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.040152 PA
Last 2 Years.042237 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056143 PA
Season.035802 PA
Last 2 Years.0292117 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.171

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+700
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.021141 PA
Last 2 Years.027367 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 9vs SEA1
Jun 11vs SEA0
Jun 12vs SD0
Jun 13vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.042118 PA
Last 2 Years.036194 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036224 PA
Season.0301166 PA
Last 2 Years.0293361 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.287
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+400
BRBetRivers+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04445 PA
Season.05178 PA
Last 2 Years.031679 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD0
Jun 16@ SEA0
Jun 17@ SEA1
Jun 18@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.040152 PA
Last 2 Years.042237 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056143 PA
Season.035802 PA
Last 2 Years.0292117 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.144

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+800
CZRCaesars+625

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1676 PA
Season.046131 PA
Last 2 Years.038260 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

May 30vs TOR0
Jun 5@ TOR0
Jun 6@ TOR0
Jun 9vs SEA0
Jun 14vs SD1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.042118 PA
Last 2 Years.036194 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036224 PA
Season.0301166 PA
Last 2 Years.0293361 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.146

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+540

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA
Season.034148 PA
Last 2 Years.026652 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 12vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD0
Jun 16@ SEA0
Jun 17@ SEA0
Jun 18@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.040152 PA
Last 2 Years.042237 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056143 PA
Season.035802 PA
Last 2 Years.0292117 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.146

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA
Season.008124 PA
Last 2 Years.018324 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD0
Jun 16@ SEA0
Jun 17@ SEA0
Jun 18@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.042118 PA
Last 2 Years.036194 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036224 PA
Season.0301166 PA
Last 2 Years.0293361 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

LAD LAD Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 BF
Season.04149 BF
Last 2 Years.04149 BF
wOBA allowed.371
Hard-Hit %42%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 BF
Season.04347 BF
Last 2 Years.04347 BF
wOBA allowed.336
Hard-Hit %41%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03033 PA
Season.023221 PA
Last 2 Years.034672 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ CWS0
Jun 14@ CWS0
Jun 15vs TB1
Jun 16vs TB0
Jun 17vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.04149 PA
Last 2 Years.04149 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042215 PA
Season.0281078 PA
Last 2 Years.0292983 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.177

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+430
CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05338 PA
Season.051235 PA
Last 2 Years.046874 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ CWS0
Jun 14@ CWS0
Jun 15vs TB0
Jun 16vs TB0
Jun 17vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.04347 PA
Last 2 Years.04347 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030236 PA
Season.027993 PA
Last 2 Years.0293508 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.193

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+360
CZRCaesars+330

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05437 PA
Season.041221 PA
Last 2 Years.036879 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ CWS0
Jun 14@ CWS1
Jun 15vs TB0
Jun 16vs TB0
Jun 17vs TB1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.04149 PA
Last 2 Years.04149 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042215 PA
Season.0281078 PA
Last 2 Years.0292983 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.351
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.198

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+425
CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.040124 PA
Last 2 Years.035724 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ CWS0
Jun 14@ CWS1
Jun 15vs TB0
Jun 16vs TB0
Jun 17vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.04347 PA
Last 2 Years.04347 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030236 PA
Season.027993 PA
Last 2 Years.0293508 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.156

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.060200 PA
Last 2 Years.051603 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ CWS2
Jun 14@ CWS0
Jun 15vs TB0
Jun 16vs TB0
Jun 17vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.04149 PA
Last 2 Years.04149 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042215 PA
Season.0281078 PA
Last 2 Years.0292983 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.353
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.222

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+290
BRBetRivers+285

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.021373 PA

Last 1 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.04149 PA
Last 2 Years.04149 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042215 PA
Season.0281078 PA
Last 2 Years.0292983 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +16%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.13

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 12@ CWS0
Jun 13@ CWS0
Jun 14@ CWS0
Jun 15vs TB0
Jun 16vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.04149 PA
Last 2 Years.04149 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042215 PA
Season.0281078 PA
Last 2 Years.0292983 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.134

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.064110 PA
Last 2 Years.049224 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 11@ PIT0
Jun 13@ CWS0
Jun 14@ CWS0
Jun 15vs TB0
Jun 17vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.04149 PA
Last 2 Years.04149 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042215 PA
Season.0281078 PA
Last 2 Years.0292983 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.179

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+430
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.020148 PA
Last 2 Years.022229 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ CWS0
Jun 14@ CWS0
Jun 15vs TB0
Jun 16vs TB0
Jun 17vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.04149 PA
Last 2 Years.04149 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042215 PA
Season.0281078 PA
Last 2 Years.0292983 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.00055 PA
Last 2 Years.010398 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 11@ PIT0
Jun 12@ CWS0
Jun 13@ CWS0
Jun 15vs TB1
Jun 17vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.04347 PA
Last 2 Years.04347 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030236 PA
Season.027993 PA
Last 2 Years.0293508 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.101

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.00066 PA
Last 2 Years.006336 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 11@ PIT0
Jun 12@ CWS0
Jun 13@ CWS0
Jun 15vs TB0
Jun 17vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.04347 PA
Last 2 Years.04347 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030236 PA
Season.027993 PA
Last 2 Years.0293508 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.095

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.