WSH @ TB Home Runs matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026

WSH

Washington Nationals

4:10 PM EDT

Tampa Bay Rays

◆ Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft

WSH Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from WSH's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.20010 BF

Season.06067 BF

Last 2 Years.048146 BF

wOBA allowed.331

Hard-Hit %39%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00020 BF

Season.02197 BF

Last 2 Years.015260 BF

wOBA allowed.296

Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA

Season.046109 PA

Last 2 Years.039461 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs SEA1

Jun 15vs KC0

Jun 16vs KC0

Jun 17vs KC0

Jun 19@ TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.20010 PA

Season.06067 PA

Last 2 Years.048146 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.018164 PA

Season.021934 PA

Last 2 Years.0282966 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.330

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.182

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+360

CZRCaesars+330

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.3333 PA

Season.08025 PA

Last 2 Years.015199 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs SEA0

Jun 15vs KC0

Jun 16vs KC0

Jun 17vs KC0

Jun 19@ TB1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.20010 PA

Season.06067 PA

Last 2 Years.048146 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.018164 PA

Season.021934 PA

Last 2 Years.0282966 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.137

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA

Season.0009 PA

Last 2 Years.00073 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 9@ SF0

Jun 13vs SEA0

Jun 16vs KC0

Jun 17vs KC0

Jun 19@ TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.20010 PA

Season.06067 PA

Last 2 Years.048146 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.018164 PA

Season.021934 PA

Last 2 Years.0282966 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.121

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.1119 PA

Season.02387 PA

Last 2 Years.021389 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs SEA0

Jun 15vs KC0

Jun 16vs KC0

Jun 17vs KC0

Jun 19@ TB1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.20010 PA

Season.06067 PA

Last 2 Years.048146 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.018164 PA

Season.021934 PA

Last 2 Years.0282966 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.318

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+575

CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA

Season.03754 PA

Last 2 Years.021190 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 12vs SEA0

Jun 14vs SEA1

Jun 15vs KC0

Jun 17vs KC0

Jun 19@ TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA

Season.02197 PA

Last 2 Years.015260 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.029210 PA

Season.0301077 PA

Last 2 Years.0323424 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.324

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625

BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~1.2× / ~2.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.00091 PA

Last 2 Years.012168 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs SEA0

Jun 15vs KC0

Jun 16vs KC0

Jun 17vs KC0

Jun 19@ TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.20010 PA

Season.06067 PA

Last 2 Years.048146 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.018164 PA

Season.021934 PA

Last 2 Years.0282966 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.313

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.102

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+800

CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~1× / ~3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA

Season.00064 PA

Last 2 Years.016124 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs SEA0

Jun 15vs KC0

Jun 16vs KC0

Jun 17vs KC0

Jun 19@ TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA

Season.02197 PA

Last 2 Years.015260 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.029210 PA

Season.0301077 PA

Last 2 Years.0323424 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.324

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.11

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+1100

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~1× / ~2.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA

Season.00018 PA

Last 2 Years.00024 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 9@ SF0

Jun 10@ SF0

Jun 12vs SEA0

Jun 14vs SEA0

Jun 19@ TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.20010 PA

Season.06067 PA

Last 2 Years.048146 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.018164 PA

Season.021934 PA

Last 2 Years.0282966 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.111

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~1× / ~2.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA

Season.01568 PA

Last 2 Years.004264 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 12vs SEA0

Jun 14vs SEA0

Jun 15vs KC0

Jun 16vs KC0

Jun 19@ TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA

Season.02197 PA

Last 2 Years.015260 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.029210 PA

Season.0301077 PA

Last 2 Years.0323424 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.083

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1100

BRBetRivers+1000

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

TB Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from TB's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08723 BF

Season.021194 BF

Last 2 Years.025318 BF

wOBA allowed.356

Hard-Hit %32%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05319 BF

Season.014139 BF

Last 2 Years.021234 BF

wOBA allowed.280

Hard-Hit %32%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA

Season.038208 PA

Last 2 Years.031929 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14@ LAA0

Jun 15@ LAD0

Jun 16@ LAD0

Jun 17@ LAD0

Jun 19vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA

Season.014139 PA

Last 2 Years.021234 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025201 PA

Season.0351140 PA

Last 2 Years.0363745 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.345

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.159

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+525

BRBetRivers+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA

Season.048209 PA

Last 2 Years.046612 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14@ LAA0

Jun 15@ LAD0

Jun 16@ LAD0

Jun 17@ LAD0

Jun 19vs WSH1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA

Season.021194 PA

Last 2 Years.025318 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.051176 PA

Season.043960 PA

Last 2 Years.0392933 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.348

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.327

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.196

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+650

CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.00071 PA

Last 2 Years.014295 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

May 18vs BAL0

May 19vs BAL0

May 20vs BAL0

May 22@ NYY0

Jun 19vs WSH1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA

Season.014139 PA

Last 2 Years.021234 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025201 PA

Season.0351140 PA

Last 2 Years.0363745 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.092

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950

BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.045

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA

Season.055219 PA

Last 2 Years.060828 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14@ LAA1

Jun 15@ LAD0

Jun 16@ LAD0

Jun 17@ LAD0

Jun 19vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA

Season.014139 PA

Last 2 Years.021234 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025201 PA

Season.0351140 PA

Last 2 Years.0363745 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.205

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+390

CZRCaesars+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07427 PA

Season.034176 PA

Last 2 Years.040777 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ LAA0

Jun 14@ LAA0

Jun 15@ LAD0

Jun 17@ LAD0

Jun 19vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA

Season.021194 PA

Last 2 Years.025318 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.051176 PA

Season.043960 PA

Last 2 Years.0392933 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.327

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.138

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+600

CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.6×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.018

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.000183 PA

Last 2 Years.000511 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ LAA0

Jun 14@ LAA0

Jun 16@ LAD0

Jun 17@ LAD0

Jun 19vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA

Season.021194 PA

Last 2 Years.025318 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.051176 PA

Season.043960 PA

Last 2 Years.0392933 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.327

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.062

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+2600

BRBetRivers+1150

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA

Season.007145 PA

Last 2 Years.011277 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 9vs BOS0

Jun 13@ LAA0

Jun 14@ LAA0

Jun 17@ LAD0

Jun 19vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA

Season.021194 PA

Last 2 Years.025318 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.051176 PA

Season.043960 PA

Last 2 Years.0392933 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.327

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.087

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1200

CZRCaesars+950

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA

Season.000114 PA

Last 2 Years.010517 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ LAA0

Jun 15@ LAD0

Jun 16@ LAD0

Jun 17@ LAD0

Jun 19vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA

Season.021194 PA

Last 2 Years.025318 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.051176 PA

Season.043960 PA

Last 2 Years.0392933 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.327

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.083

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1300

CZRCaesars+1100

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA

Season.01283 PA

Last 2 Years.006178 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 7@ MIA0

Jun 13@ LAA0

Jun 14@ LAA0

Jun 17@ LAD0

Jun 19vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA

Season.021194 PA

Last 2 Years.025318 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.051176 PA

Season.043960 PA

Last 2 Years.0392933 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.327

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.098

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1100

BRBetRivers+1050

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.