BOS @ SEA Home Runs matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026

BOS

Boston Red Sox

10:10 PM EDT

SEA

Seattle Mariners

◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft

BOS Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from BOS's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 BF

Season.040177 BF

Last 2 Years.050417 BF

wOBA allowed.282

Hard-Hit %44%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 BF

Season.029136 BF

Last 2 Years.024369 BF

wOBA allowed.289

Hard-Hit %32%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA

Season.00086 PA

Last 2 Years.011179 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs TEX0

Jun 16vs TOR0

Jun 17vs TOR0

Jun 18vs TOR0

Jun 19@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA

Season.040177 PA

Last 2 Years.050417 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.038208 PA

Season.0321068 PA

Last 2 Years.0344113 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.125

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625

BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA

Season.024206 PA

Last 2 Years.024852 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs TEX0

Jun 16vs TOR0

Jun 17vs TOR0

Jun 18vs TOR0

Jun 19@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.029136 PA

Last 2 Years.024369 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.027148 PA

Season.023915 PA

Last 2 Years.0264222 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.117

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625

BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA

Season.032217 PA

Last 2 Years.046785 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs TEX0

Jun 16vs TOR0

Jun 17vs TOR0

Jun 18vs TOR0

Jun 19@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA

Season.040177 PA

Last 2 Years.050417 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.038208 PA

Season.0321068 PA

Last 2 Years.0344113 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.171

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+370

BRBetRivers+370

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09841 PA

Season.051218 PA

Last 2 Years.041805 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs TEX2

Jun 16vs TOR0

Jun 17vs TOR0

Jun 18vs TOR0

Jun 19@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.029136 PA

Last 2 Years.024369 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.027148 PA

Season.023915 PA

Last 2 Years.0264222 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.343

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 1 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances1

HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.172

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+440

CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA

Season.049223 PA

Last 2 Years.037983 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs TEX0

Jun 16vs TOR1

Jun 17vs TOR0

Jun 18vs TOR0

Jun 19@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA

Season.040177 PA

Last 2 Years.050417 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.038208 PA

Season.0321068 PA

Last 2 Years.0344113 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA

Career Average.667

Plate Appearances3

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.166

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+475

BRBetRivers+460

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03033 PA

Season.01191 PA

Last 2 Years.008622 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs TEX0

Jun 14vs TEX0

Jun 16vs TOR0

Jun 17vs TOR0

Jun 18vs TOR1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.029136 PA

Last 2 Years.024369 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.027148 PA

Season.023915 PA

Last 2 Years.0264222 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.09

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+1100

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA

Season.017174 PA

Last 2 Years.018547 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs TEX0

Jun 14vs TEX0

Jun 16vs TOR0

Jun 18vs TOR1

Jun 19@ SEA1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.029136 PA

Last 2 Years.024369 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.027148 PA

Season.023915 PA

Last 2 Years.0264222 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.092

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1150

CZRCaesars+950

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA

Season.00068 PA

Last 2 Years.010408 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 4vs BAL0

Jun 5@ NYY0

Jun 12vs TEX0

Jun 16vs TOR0

Jun 18vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.029136 PA

Last 2 Years.024369 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.027148 PA

Season.023915 PA

Last 2 Years.0264222 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.086

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.00067 PA

Last 2 Years.009211 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10@ TB0

Jun 14vs TEX0

Jun 17vs TOR0

Jun 18vs TOR0

Jun 19@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.029136 PA

Last 2 Years.024369 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.027148 PA

Season.023915 PA

Last 2 Years.0264222 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.093

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

SEA Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from SEA's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 BF

Season.04981 BF

Last 2 Years.039103 BF

wOBA allowed.295

Hard-Hit %29%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07739 BF

Season.041246 BF

Last 2 Years.033303 BF

wOBA allowed.345

Hard-Hit %35%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA

Season.01473 PA

Last 2 Years.017364 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 5@ DET0

Jun 16vs BAL0

Jun 17vs BAL0

Jun 18vs BAL0

Jun 19vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA

Season.04981 PA

Last 2 Years.039103 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.050119 PA

Season.030498 PA

Last 2 Years.0272069 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750

BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.045

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA

Season.01952 PA

Last 2 Years.086362 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

May 13@ HOU0

Jun 16vs BAL0

Jun 17vs BAL0

Jun 18vs BAL0

Jun 19vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07739 PA

Season.041246 PA

Last 2 Years.033303 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.017179 PA

Season.020808 PA

Last 2 Years.0243281 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.325

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.330

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.203

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+320

BRBetRivers+295

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.01281 PA

Last 2 Years.025361 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 12@ WSH1

Jun 13@ WSH0

Jun 14@ WSH0

Jun 18vs BAL0

Jun 19vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA

Season.04981 PA

Last 2 Years.039103 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.050119 PA

Season.030498 PA

Last 2 Years.0272069 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.113

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+700

BRBetRivers+650

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA

Season.00017 PA

Last 2 Years.01190 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14@ WSH0

Jun 16vs BAL0

Jun 17vs BAL1

Jun 18vs BAL0

Jun 19vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA

Season.04981 PA

Last 2 Years.039103 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.050119 PA

Season.030498 PA

Last 2 Years.0272069 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.125

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.02289 PA

Last 2 Years.013156 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14@ WSH0

Jun 16vs BAL0

Jun 17vs BAL1

Jun 18vs BAL0

Jun 19vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA

Season.04981 PA

Last 2 Years.039103 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.050119 PA

Season.030498 PA

Last 2 Years.0272069 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.308

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.111

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850

BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2.9× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA

Season.03826 PA

Last 2 Years.03826 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14@ WSH0

Jun 16vs BAL0

Jun 17vs BAL0

Jun 18vs BAL0

Jun 19vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA

Season.04981 PA

Last 2 Years.039103 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.050119 PA

Season.030498 PA

Last 2 Years.0272069 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.125

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950

BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.1676 PA

Season.02246 PA

Last 2 Years.031288 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 5@ DET0

Jun 9@ BAL1

Jun 10@ BAL0

Jun 13@ WSH0

Jun 18vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07739 PA

Season.041246 PA

Last 2 Years.033303 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.017179 PA

Season.020808 PA

Last 2 Years.0243281 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.323

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.330

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.122

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA

Season.00025 PA

Last 2 Years.006157 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14@ WSH0

Jun 16vs BAL0

Jun 17vs BAL0

Jun 18vs BAL0

Jun 19vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07739 PA

Season.041246 PA

Last 2 Years.033303 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.017179 PA

Season.020808 PA

Last 2 Years.0243281 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.330

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.097

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA

Season.0002 PA

Last 2 Years.00028 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ WSH0

Jun 14@ WSH0

Jun 16vs BAL0

Jun 17vs BAL0

Jun 18vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA

Season.04981 PA

Last 2 Years.039103 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.050119 PA

Season.030498 PA

Last 2 Years.0272069 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.324

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.114

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.