MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Sunday, June 21, 2026

BOS @ SEA Home Runs matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026

BOS
BOS
Boston Red Sox
vs
4:10 PM EDT
SEA
Seattle Mariners
SEA
T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft

BOS BOS Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from BOS's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 BF
Season.042192 BF
Last 2 Years.040653 BF
wOBA allowed.290
Hard-Hit %37%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 BF
Season.033154 BF
Last 2 Years.034657 BF
wOBA allowed.302
Hard-Hit %42%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA
Season.00086 PA
Last 2 Years.011179 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs TEX0
Jun 16vs TOR0
Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR0
Jun 19@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.042192 PA
Last 2 Years.040653 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044205 PA
Season.0311053 PA
Last 2 Years.0353877 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.124

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA
Season.024206 PA
Last 2 Years.024852 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs TEX0
Jun 16vs TOR0
Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR0
Jun 19@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.033154 PA
Last 2 Years.034657 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028145 PA
Season.022897 PA
Last 2 Years.0243934 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-6

Home Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.032217 PA
Last 2 Years.046785 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs TOR0
Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR0
Jun 19@ SEA0
Jun 20@ SEA1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.042192 PA
Last 2 Years.040653 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044205 PA
Season.0311053 PA
Last 2 Years.0353877 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.17

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09841 PA
Season.051218 PA
Last 2 Years.041805 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs TOR0
Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR0
Jun 19@ SEA0
Jun 20@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.033154 PA
Last 2 Years.034657 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028145 PA
Season.022897 PA
Last 2 Years.0243934 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.343
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.173

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA
Season.049223 PA
Last 2 Years.037983 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs TOR1
Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR0
Jun 19@ SEA0
Jun 20@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.042192 PA
Last 2 Years.040653 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044205 PA
Season.0311053 PA
Last 2 Years.0353877 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-10

Home Runs1 in 11 PA
Career Average.273
Plate Appearances11
HR · K · BB1 · 4 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.165

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA
Season.017174 PA
Last 2 Years.018547 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs TEX0
Jun 16vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR1
Jun 19@ SEA1
Jun 20@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.033154 PA
Last 2 Years.034657 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028145 PA
Season.022897 PA
Last 2 Years.0243934 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.095

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.005193 PA
Last 2 Years.017302 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs TEX0
Jun 16vs TOR0
Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 19@ SEA0
Jun 20@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.042192 PA
Last 2 Years.040653 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044205 PA
Season.0311053 PA
Last 2 Years.0353877 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.087

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.018109 PA
Last 2 Years.030434 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 8@ TB0
Jun 13vs TEX0
Jun 14vs TEX0
Jun 19@ SEA0
Jun 20@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.033154 PA
Last 2 Years.034657 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028145 PA
Season.022897 PA
Last 2 Years.0243934 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.115

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00067 PA
Last 2 Years.009211 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs TEX0
Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR0
Jun 19@ SEA0
Jun 20@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.033154 PA
Last 2 Years.034657 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028145 PA
Season.022897 PA
Last 2 Years.0243934 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.093

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

SEA SEA Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from SEA's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 BF
Season.04665 BF
Last 2 Years.05080 BF
wOBA allowed.299
Hard-Hit %21%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 BF
Season.012171 BF
Last 2 Years.026230 BF
wOBA allowed.265
Hard-Hit %33%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.03684 PA
Last 2 Years.056302 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ WSH0
Jun 16vs BAL0
Jun 17vs BAL0
Jun 19vs BOS0
Jun 20vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.012171 PA
Last 2 Years.026230 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028182 PA
Season.027883 PA
Last 2 Years.0243354 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.168

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.01952 PA
Last 2 Years.086362 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs BAL0
Jun 17vs BAL0
Jun 18vs BAL0
Jun 19vs BOS0
Jun 20vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.012171 PA
Last 2 Years.026230 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028182 PA
Season.027883 PA
Last 2 Years.0243354 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.195

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.08483 PA
Last 2 Years.060349 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14@ WSH0
Jun 16vs BAL0
Jun 17vs BAL0
Jun 19vs BOS1
Jun 20vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.012171 PA
Last 2 Years.026230 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028182 PA
Season.027883 PA
Last 2 Years.0243354 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.2

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.01281 PA
Last 2 Years.025361 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ WSH0
Jun 14@ WSH0
Jun 18vs BAL0
Jun 19vs BOS0
Jun 20vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.04665 PA
Last 2 Years.05080 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.043117 PA
Season.031514 PA
Last 2 Years.0262092 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.111

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.00017 PA
Last 2 Years.01190 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs BAL0
Jun 17vs BAL1
Jun 18vs BAL0
Jun 19vs BOS0
Jun 20vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.04665 PA
Last 2 Years.05080 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.043117 PA
Season.031514 PA
Last 2 Years.0262092 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.02289 PA
Last 2 Years.013156 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs BAL0
Jun 17vs BAL1
Jun 18vs BAL0
Jun 19vs BOS0
Jun 20vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.04665 PA
Last 2 Years.05080 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.043117 PA
Season.031514 PA
Last 2 Years.0262092 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.111

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.00025 PA
Last 2 Years.006157 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14@ WSH0
Jun 16vs BAL0
Jun 17vs BAL0
Jun 18vs BAL0
Jun 19vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.012171 PA
Last 2 Years.026230 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028182 PA
Season.027883 PA
Last 2 Years.0243354 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.098

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.03826 PA
Last 2 Years.03826 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs BAL0
Jun 17vs BAL0
Jun 18vs BAL0
Jun 19vs BOS0
Jun 20vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.04665 PA
Last 2 Years.05080 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.043117 PA
Season.031514 PA
Last 2 Years.0262092 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.122

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 6 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.03132 PA
Last 2 Years.037163 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

May 24vs DET0
May 25vs TB0
May 27vs TB0
May 28vs TOR0
Jun 19vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.012171 PA
Last 2 Years.026230 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028182 PA
Season.027883 PA
Last 2 Years.0243354 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.127

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.