NYM @ PHI Home Runs matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026

NYM

New York Mets

7:20 PM EDT

PHI

Philadelphia Phillies

◆ Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft

NYM Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from NYM's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00045 PA

Season.022232 PA

Last 2 Years.022232 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15@ CIN0

Jun 16@ CIN0

Jun 17@ CIN0

Jun 18@ PHI0

Jun 20@ PHI1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA

Season.01098 PA

Last 2 Years.011364 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06546 PA

Season.016245 PA

Last 2 Years.019785 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15@ CIN0

Jun 16@ CIN0

Jun 17@ CIN0

Jun 18@ PHI0

Jun 20@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA

Season.017302 PA

Last 2 Years.0191272 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head3-for-11

Home Runs0 in 11 PA

Career Average.273

Plate Appearances11

HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.127

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.050

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06844 PA

Season.078166 PA

Last 2 Years.066879 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15@ CIN0

Jun 16@ CIN0

Jun 17@ CIN0

Jun 18@ PHI2

Jun 20@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA

Season.01098 PA

Last 2 Years.011364 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.372

Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head13-for-49

Home Runs2 in 64 PA

Career Average.203

Plate Appearances64

HR · K · BB2 · 13 · 15

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.277

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07341 PA

Season.036225 PA

Last 2 Years.033935 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15@ CIN0

Jun 16@ CIN0

Jun 17@ CIN0

Jun 18@ PHI0

Jun 20@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA

Season.017302 PA

Last 2 Years.0191272 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head4-for-18

Home Runs1 in 19 PA

Career Average.210

Plate Appearances19

HR · K · BB1 · 5 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.135

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA

Season.0002 PA

Last 2 Years.015388 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

May 27vs CIN1

Jun 13vs ATL0

Jun 16@ CIN0

Jun 18@ PHI0

Jun 20@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA

Season.017302 PA

Last 2 Years.0191272 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs1 in 3 PA

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

HR · K · BB1 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.114

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2.7× / ~1.4×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA

Season.033121 PA

Last 2 Years.033539 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15@ CIN0

Jun 16@ CIN0

Jun 17@ CIN0

Jun 18@ PHI0

Jun 20@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA

Season.017302 PA

Last 2 Years.0191272 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 3 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.151

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.036139 PA

Last 2 Years.049721 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15@ CIN0

Jun 16@ CIN1

Jun 17@ CIN0

Jun 18@ PHI0

Jun 20@ PHI1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA

Season.017302 PA

Last 2 Years.0191272 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head3-for-9

Home Runs0 in 9 PA

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances9

HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.137

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA

Season.01099 PA

Last 2 Years.016379 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10vs STL0

Jun 12vs ATL0

Jun 14vs ATL0

Jun 17@ CIN0

Jun 20@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA

Season.017302 PA

Last 2 Years.0191272 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.098

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.00028 PA

Last 2 Years.01285 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10vs MIN0

Jun 11vs MIN0

Jun 17@ CIN0

Jun 18@ PHI0

Jun 20@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA

Season.017302 PA

Last 2 Years.0191272 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.102

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

PHI Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from PHI's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA

Season.009106 PA

Last 2 Years.031419 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ MIL0

Jun 14@ MIL0

Jun 15vs MIA0

Jun 17vs MIA0

Jun 20vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA

Season.008122 PA

Last 2 Years.037669 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.321

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head5-for-22

Home Runs0 in 24 PA

Career Average.208

Plate Appearances24

HR · K · BB0 · 6 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.139

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.047

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA

Season.065123 PA

Last 2 Years.071520 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15vs MIA0

Jun 16vs MIA1

Jun 17vs MIA0

Jun 18vs NYM0

Jun 20vs NYM3

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA

Season.038235 PA

Last 2 Years.026817 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.354

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head3-for-24

Home Runs1 in 27 PA

Career Average.111

Plate Appearances27

HR · K · BB1 · 14 · 3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.24

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA

Season.025120 PA

Last 2 Years.037461 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15vs MIA0

Jun 16vs MIA0

Jun 17vs MIA0

Jun 18vs NYM0

Jun 20vs NYM1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA

Season.038235 PA

Last 2 Years.026817 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.323

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head10-for-25

Home Runs1 in 28 PA

Career Average.357

Plate Appearances28

HR · K · BB1 · 6 · 3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.157

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA

Season.01569 PA

Last 2 Years.020202 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15vs MIA0

Jun 16vs MIA1

Jun 17vs MIA0

Jun 18vs NYM0

Jun 20vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA

Season.038235 PA

Last 2 Years.026817 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.312

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs1 in 3 PA

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.115

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA

Season.04589 PA

Last 2 Years.039307 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14@ MIL0

Jun 16vs MIA1

Jun 17vs MIA0

Jun 18vs NYM0

Jun 20vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA

Season.008122 PA

Last 2 Years.037669 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.326

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head9-for-26

Home Runs2 in 27 PA

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances27

HR · K · BB2 · 6 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.15

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.02049 PA

Last 2 Years.009230 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15vs MIA0

Jun 16vs MIA0

Jun 17vs MIA0

Jun 18vs NYM0

Jun 20vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA

Season.038235 PA

Last 2 Years.026817 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.314

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.101

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.00049 PA

Last 2 Years.015259 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ MIL1

Jun 15vs MIA1

Jun 16vs MIA0

Jun 18vs NYM0

Jun 20vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA

Season.008122 PA

Last 2 Years.037669 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.302

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head3-for-24

Home Runs0 in 28 PA

Career Average.107

Plate Appearances28

HR · K · BB0 · 5 · 4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.107

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15vs MIA1

Jun 16vs MIA0

Jun 17vs MIA0

Jun 18vs NYM0

Jun 20vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA

Season.038235 PA

Last 2 Years.026817 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.124

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.00038 PA

Last 2 Years.00038 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15vs MIA0

Jun 16vs MIA0

Jun 17vs MIA0

Jun 18vs NYM0

Jun 20vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA

Season.038235 PA

Last 2 Years.026817 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.307

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.099

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.