MIN @ AZ Home Runs matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026

MIN

Minnesota Twins

3:15 PM EDT

Arizona Diamondbacks

◆ Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft

MIN Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from MIN's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06531 PA

Season.021189 PA

Last 2 Years.032874 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs STL0

Jun 16@ TEX1

Jun 18@ TEX1

Jun 19@ AZ0

Jun 20@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.050141 PA

Season.030837 PA

Last 2 Years.0322752 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.149

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.055

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA

Season.091208 PA

Last 2 Years.073777 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15@ TEX1

Jun 16@ TEX0

Jun 18@ TEX0

Jun 19@ AZ0

Jun 20@ AZ1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.041196 PA

Season.029934 PA

Last 2 Years.0303516 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.353

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.275

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.044

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.13936 PA

Season.048189 PA

Last 2 Years.054550 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15@ TEX0

Jun 16@ TEX1

Jun 18@ TEX0

Jun 19@ AZ0

Jun 20@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.050141 PA

Season.030837 PA

Last 2 Years.0322752 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.203

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05735 PA

Season.031192 PA

Last 2 Years.041813 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15@ TEX1

Jun 16@ TEX0

Jun 18@ TEX0

Jun 19@ AZ1

Jun 20@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.050141 PA

Season.030837 PA

Last 2 Years.0322752 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.166

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA

Season.033120 PA

Last 2 Years.034596 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15@ TEX0

Jun 16@ TEX0

Jun 18@ TEX0

Jun 19@ AZ1

Jun 20@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.041196 PA

Season.029934 PA

Last 2 Years.0303516 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.125

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09841 PA

Season.047191 PA

Last 2 Years.033673 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs STL0

Jun 16@ TEX0

Jun 18@ TEX1

Jun 19@ AZ0

Jun 20@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.050141 PA

Season.030837 PA

Last 2 Years.0322752 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.129

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07427 PA

Season.023133 PA

Last 2 Years.026578 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs STL0

Jun 14vs STL1

Jun 18@ TEX0

Jun 19@ AZ1

Jun 20@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.050141 PA

Season.030837 PA

Last 2 Years.0322752 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA

Season.025122 PA

Last 2 Years.019205 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs STL0

Jun 14vs STL0

Jun 16@ TEX0

Jun 18@ TEX0

Jun 19@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.050141 PA

Season.030837 PA

Last 2 Years.0322752 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.099

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA

Season.005190 PA

Last 2 Years.012331 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15@ TEX0

Jun 16@ TEX0

Jun 18@ TEX0

Jun 19@ AZ0

Jun 20@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.041196 PA

Season.029934 PA

Last 2 Years.0303516 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.082

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

AZ Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from AZ's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00037 PA

Season.032218 PA

Last 2 Years.054758 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15vs LAA0

Jun 16vs LAA0

Jun 17vs LAA0

Jun 19vs MIN1

Jun 20vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.035227 PA

Season.0321035 PA

Last 2 Years.0363117 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.188

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA

Season.015205 PA

Last 2 Years.021940 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15vs LAA0

Jun 16vs LAA0

Jun 17vs LAA0

Jun 19vs MIN0

Jun 20vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.035227 PA

Season.0321035 PA

Last 2 Years.0363117 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.10837 PA

Season.049204 PA

Last 2 Years.050912 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15vs LAA0

Jun 16vs LAA0

Jun 17vs LAA1

Jun 19vs MIN0

Jun 20vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.035227 PA

Season.0321035 PA

Last 2 Years.0363117 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.342

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.212

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08336 PA

Season.028145 PA

Last 2 Years.029476 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ CIN0

Jun 14@ CIN1

Jun 15vs LAA0

Jun 17vs LAA0

Jun 19vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.052231 PA

Season.0251015 PA

Last 2 Years.0293097 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.340

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.162

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA

Season.01283 PA

Last 2 Years.032651 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

May 22vs COL0

Jun 15vs LAA0

Jun 16vs LAA0

Jun 19vs MIN0

Jun 20vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.052231 PA

Season.0251015 PA

Last 2 Years.0293097 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00037 PA

Season.031193 PA

Last 2 Years.029773 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15vs LAA0

Jun 16vs LAA0

Jun 17vs LAA0

Jun 19vs MIN0

Jun 20vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.052231 PA

Season.0251015 PA

Last 2 Years.0293097 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.108

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.012166 PA

Last 2 Years.012323 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14@ CIN0

Jun 16vs LAA0

Jun 17vs LAA0

Jun 19vs MIN0

Jun 20vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.035227 PA

Season.0321035 PA

Last 2 Years.0363117 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.087

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.04224 PA

Last 2 Years.01661 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14@ CIN0

Jun 15vs LAA0

Jun 16vs LAA0

Jun 17vs LAA0

Jun 19vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.052231 PA

Season.0251015 PA

Last 2 Years.0293097 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.117

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14@ CIN0

Jun 16vs LAA0

Jun 17vs LAA0

Jun 19vs MIN0

Jun 20vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.052231 PA

Season.0251015 PA

Last 2 Years.0293097 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.121

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.