MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Earned Runs · Saturday, July 4, 2026

PIT @ WSH Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, July 4, 2026

PIT
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
vs
11:05 AM EDT
WSH
Washington Nationals
WSH
Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft

PIT Braxton Ashcraft · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.0% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.3%
vs RHB9.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Braxton Ashcraft's full player page →
WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)16.1%3.0 PA
2Luis García Jr. (L)16.1%3.0 PA
3José Tena (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)14.4%3.0 PA
5Dylan Crews (R)11.2%3.0 PA
6Daylen Lile (L)12.5%3.0 PA
7Keibert Ruiz (L)13.2%2.2 PA
8Jorbit Vivas (L)11.8%2.0 PA
9Nasim Nuñez (L)10.9%2.0 PA

WSH Zack Littell · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.9% Runs / BF

vs LHB11.3%
vs RHB12.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.8 BF

Expected batters faced20.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Zack Littell's full player page →
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Konnor Griffin (R)13.5%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)13.9%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)14.1%2.8 PA
4Esmerlyn Valdez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Ryan O'Hearn (L)13.3%2.0 PA
6Nick Gonzales (R)13.0%2.0 PA
7Jake Mangum (L)11.9%2.0 PA
8Endy Rodríguez (L)14.0%2.0 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)10.7%2.0 PA