MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Earned Runs · Saturday, July 4, 2026

DET @ TEX Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, July 4, 2026

DET
DET
Detroit Tigers
vs
4:05 PM EDT
TEX
Texas Rangers
TEX
Globe Life FieldElevation 545 ftCenter Field 407 ft

DET Jack Flaherty · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.3% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.1%
vs RHB11.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.2 BF

Expected batters faced21.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Jack Flaherty's full player page →
TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Justin Foscue (R)11.3%3.0 PA
2Josh Jung (R)11.0%3.0 PA
3Ezequiel Duran (R)11.5%3.0 PA
4Jake Burger (R)11.1%2.2 PA
5Kyle Higashioka (R)11.2%2.0 PA
6Cam Cauley (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Elias Díaz (R)10.8%2.0 PA
8Alejandro Osuna (L)9.9%2.0 PA
9Nicky Lopez (L)11.1%2.0 PA

TEX Kumar Rocker · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate9.6% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.6%
vs RHB9.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Kumar Rocker's full player page →
DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kevin McGonigle (L)14.1%3.0 PA
2Dillon Dingler (R)13.7%3.0 PA
3Kerry Carpenter (L)11.5%3.0 PA
4Riley Greene (L)14.1%3.0 PA
5Colt Keith (L)12.3%2.5 PA
6Spencer Torkelson (R)10.7%2.0 PA
7Zach McKinstry (L)10.4%2.0 PA
8James Outman (L)10.2%2.0 PA
9Hao-Yu Lee (R)9.9%2.0 PA