‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, July 4, 2026
TOR @ SEA Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, July 4, 2026
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
vs
4:10 PM EDT
SEA
Seattle Mariners
◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft
Shane Bieber · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate12.0% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.8%
vs RHB13.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1J.P. Crawford (L)10.9%3.0 PA
2Julio Rodríguez (R)12.0%3.0 PA
3Dominic Canzone (L)12.5%3.0 PA
4Randy Arozarena (R)13.4%3.0 PA
5Josh Naylor (L)11.0%2.4 PA
6Cal Raleigh (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Luke Raley (L)11.1%2.0 PA
8Cole Young (L)12.7%2.0 PA
9Colt Emerson (L)10.5%2.0 PA
Logan Gilbert · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.0% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.6%
vs RHB9.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Nathan Lukes (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)12.5%3.0 PA
3Kazuma Okamoto (R)13.5%3.0 PA
4Daulton Varsho (L)11.8%3.0 PA
5Alejandro Kirk (R)9.3%3.0 PA
6Yohendrick Piñango (L)11.7%2.7 PA
7Ernie Clement (R)10.5%2.0 PA
8Sean Keys (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Andrés Giménez (L)9.8%2.0 PA