MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Earned Runs · Saturday, July 4, 2026

SD @ LAD Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, July 4, 2026

SD
SD
San Diego Padres
vs
10:10 PM EDT
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
LAD
UNIQLO Field at Dodger StadiumElevation 515 ftCenter Field 395 ft

SD Griffin Canning · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate15.1% Runs / BF

vs LHB17.3%
vs RHB10.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.5 BF

Expected batters faced20.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Griffin Canning's full player page →
LAD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Shohei Ohtani (L)16.7%3.0 PA
2Andy Pages (R)13.2%3.0 PA
3Freddie Freeman (L)14.0%2.5 PA
4Mookie Betts (R)14.9%2.0 PA
5Max Muncy (L)13.8%2.0 PA
6Kyle Tucker (L)14.7%2.0 PA
7Teoscar Hernández (R)13.0%2.0 PA
8Dalton Rushing (L)12.7%2.0 PA
9Tommy Edman (L)9.6%2.0 PA

LAD Yoshinobu Yamamoto · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate8.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB8.7%
vs RHB9.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.7 BF

Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto's full player page →
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)13.2%3.0 PA
2Jake Cronenworth (L)11.8%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)12.8%3.0 PA
4Gavin Sheets (L)12.9%3.0 PA
5Ty France (R)12.3%3.0 PA
6Jackson Merrill (L)11.8%3.0 PA
7Xander Bogaerts (R)12.5%2.7 PA
8Freddy Fermin (R)10.0%2.0 PA
9Samad Taylor (R)11.4%2.0 PA